{
  "$schema_version": "5.3",
  "review_mode": "fresh",
  "claim_restatement": {
    "index_wording": "Diet–Heart (Saturated Fat) Hypothesis",
    "entry_form": "claim",
    "gradeable_restatement": "Replacing cis-unsaturated dietary fats with saturated fats causally increases ASCVD risk through elevation of LDL/apoB particles.",
    "restatement_required": true,
    "split_into": [],
    "parent_claim": null,
    "scope_qualifiers": [
      {
        "qualifier": "Genotype, species, tissue, baseline eligibility and treatment timing fixed before outcomes",
        "determinable_before_outcome": true,
        "determined_from": "Enrollment and experimental design, before results; no responder-defined scope.",
        "action": "retained"
      }
    ]
  },
  "hypothesis": {
    "name": "Diet–Heart (Saturated Fat) Hypothesis",
    "central_claim": "Replacing cis-unsaturated dietary fats with saturated fats causally increases ASCVD risk through elevation of LDL/apoB particles.",
    "proposed_mechanism": "Replacing cis-unsaturated dietary fats with saturated fats causally increases ASCVD risk through elevation of LDL/apoB particles.",
    "claimed_scope": "Isoenergetic saturated-for-cis-unsaturated replacement and particle-mediated ASCVD risk; food matrix, fatty-acid species and baseline risk remain explicit",
    "claimed_level": [
      "initiation",
      "progression"
    ],
    "is_conjunctive": true,
    "conjunctive_note": "SC3 is the clinical causal claim at the registered scope; narrower molecular, treatment or inherited-syndrome findings cannot replace it. Primary-subclaim aggregation is fixed before grading."
  },
  "rubric_routing": {
    "primary_rubric": "06-metabolism-aging.md",
    "secondary_rubrics": [],
    "index_notes_applied": [
      "SC3 is the clinical causal claim at the registered scope; narrower molecular, treatment or inherited-syndrome findings cannot replace it. Primary-subclaim aggregation is fixed before grading."
    ],
    "rubric_fit_note": "06-metabolism-aging is the registered closest rubric, although ASCVD nutrition is not a lifespan hypothesis. Its functional endpoint is explicitly operationalized as clinical ASCVD rather than requiring lifespan extension. SC1 alone remains biomarker-limited; SC2 clinical events and SC3 assembled dietary/particle inference receive separate adjudication. The adaptation is visible and should receive independent reviewer scrutiny."
  },
  "subclaim_matrix": {
    "subclaims": [
      {
        "id": "SC1",
        "statement": "Isoenergetic saturated-fat replacement of cis-unsaturated fat raises LDL/apoB under controlled dietary conditions.",
        "subclaim_type": "mechanism",
        "scope": "Replacement nutrient and dietary pattern defined before outcomes",
        "claimed_scope": "Replacement nutrient and dietary pattern defined before outcomes",
        "governing_rubric": "06-metabolism-aging.md",
        "key_evidence_anchor": "Controlled feeding and randomized dietary replacement",
        "hsef_level": "Γ",
        "confidence": "Moderate",
        "governing_cap_or_threshold": "Quoted boundary and upward audit below.",
        "rationale": "Controlled feeding demonstrates a real biochemical LDL/apoB response, with heterogeneous responses across food matrices and comparators. The isolated SC1 evidence has biomarker endpoints, so the aging rubric functional-phenotype ceiling is Γ; this letter does not deny causality of the measured lipid response."
      },
      {
        "id": "SC2",
        "statement": "Higher cumulative LDL/apoB exposure causally increases ASCVD risk.",
        "subclaim_type": "necessity",
        "scope": "Clinical atherosclerotic disease, with particle exposure and timing specified",
        "claimed_scope": "Clinical atherosclerotic disease, with particle exposure and timing specified",
        "governing_rubric": "06-metabolism-aging.md",
        "key_evidence_anchor": "Genetic, natural-experiment and pharmacological clinical evidence",
        "hsef_level": "Η",
        "confidence": "Moderate",
        "governing_cap_or_threshold": "Quoted boundary and upward audit below.",
        "rationale": "Randomized clinical particle-lowering, human causal genetics and lifelong hypercholesterolemia converge on apoB-particle contribution to ASCVD. Different genotypes, drug strategies and clinical settings constrain distinct errors. Dietary trial conflicts do not overturn this independently supported causal component."
      },
      {
        "id": "SC3",
        "statement": "Saturated-for-unsaturated fat replacement raises clinical ASCVD risk through this lipid pathway.",
        "subclaim_type": "generalization",
        "scope": "Defined nutrient replacement rather than unrestricted food/category comparison",
        "claimed_scope": "Defined nutrient replacement rather than unrestricted food/category comparison",
        "governing_rubric": "06-metabolism-aging.md",
        "key_evidence_anchor": "Randomized dietary clinical endpoints with adherence and lipid measurements",
        "hsef_level": "Ε",
        "confidence": "Moderate",
        "governing_cap_or_threshold": "Quoted boundary and upward audit below.",
        "rationale": "The assembled replacement, particle-causal and clinical-dietary evidence supports context-specific particle-mediated risk. It is stronger than biomarkers alone when read as a complementary causal set, but direct diet-specific clinical mediation, universal food-class effects and equally supported MUFA/PUFA event benefits remain unresolved. Clinical dietary patterns and historical replacements map restricted context rather than a universal guaranteed outcome."
      }
    ],
    "aggregation_rule": "primary-subclaim",
    "aggregation_preregistered": true,
    "aggregation_rationale": "SC3 is the clinical causal claim at the registered scope; narrower molecular, treatment or inherited-syndrome findings cannot replace it. Primary-subclaim aggregation is fixed before grading.",
    "primary_subclaim_id": "SC3",
    "aggregation_derivation": "Overall Ε follows preregistered SC3. The isolated biomarker component is Γ and the independently convergent particle-to-ASCVD component is Η. SC3 is assessed on their assembled complementary evidence with clinical dietary results, not by reimposing the biomarker cap on the whole set. Comparator-specific effects, historical endpoint conflicts, food matrix and uncertain selective mediation prevent broad diet-specific Ζ. This remains a bounded reviewer judgement, not a numerical estimate of individual risk.",
    "aggregation_alternatives": {
      "weakest_link_would_return": "Γ",
      "primary_subclaim_would_return": "Ε",
      "scope_matched_would_return": "Ε",
      "note": "Separate narrow successes do not replace the preregistered gate."
    },
    "index_rule_deviation": ""
  },
  "competing_models": {
    "models_evaluated": [
      {
        "rank_in_tournament": 1,
        "model_id": "M2",
        "is_nominal": false,
        "name": "Replacement-nutrient and food-matrix model",
        "core_claim": "Net risk depends on which foods/fatty acids replace which nutrients, with the particle pathway as a causal component.",
        "explains_what_nominal_does_not": "Net risk depends on which foods/fatty acids replace which nutrients, with the particle pathway as a causal component.",
        "strongest_supporting_evidence": [
          "Feeding heterogeneity, substitution cohorts and dietary endpoint contrasts explain comparator-specific effects."
        ],
        "strongest_contradictory_evidence": [
          "No complete food-specific causal map or selective clinical mediation estimate exists."
        ],
        "hsef_level_for_this_model": "Ε",
        "rationale": "Feeding heterogeneity, substitution cohorts and dietary endpoint contrasts explain comparator-specific effects. No complete food-specific causal map or selective clinical mediation estimate exists."
      },
      {
        "rank_in_tournament": 2,
        "model_id": "M1",
        "is_nominal": true,
        "name": "Saturated-fat–LDL risk model",
        "core_claim": "Sustained SFA-for-cis-UFA replacement elevates particles and thereby contributes to ASCVD.",
        "explains_what_nominal_does_not": "Sustained SFA-for-cis-UFA replacement elevates particles and thereby contributes to ASCVD.",
        "strongest_supporting_evidence": [
          "Controlled lipid effects and independent particle-lowering/genetic clinical evidence strongly support the causal chain."
        ],
        "strongest_contradictory_evidence": [
          "Uniform net effects and diet-specific attribution are weaker than particle causality."
        ],
        "hsef_level_for_this_model": "Ε",
        "rationale": "Controlled lipid effects and independent particle-lowering/genetic clinical evidence strongly support the causal chain. Uniform net effects and diet-specific attribution are weaker than particle causality."
      },
      {
        "rank_in_tournament": 3,
        "model_id": "M3",
        "is_nominal": false,
        "name": "LDL-independent dietary pathways",
        "core_claim": "Foods also act through weight, metabolism, inflammation and other pathways.",
        "explains_what_nominal_does_not": "Foods also act through weight, metabolism, inflammation and other pathways.",
        "strongest_supporting_evidence": [
          "Multifactor interventions and metabolic responses provide plausible additional routes."
        ],
        "strongest_contradictory_evidence": [
          "Those routes do not make apoB particles noncausal and are incompletely isolated."
        ],
        "hsef_level_for_this_model": "Γ",
        "rationale": "Multifactor interventions and metabolic responses provide plausible additional routes. Those routes do not make apoB particles noncausal and are incompletely isolated."
      },
      {
        "rank_in_tournament": 4,
        "model_id": "M4",
        "is_nominal": false,
        "name": "Observational-confounding explanation",
        "core_claim": "Dietary associations reflect socioeconomic and behavioural confounding.",
        "explains_what_nominal_does_not": "Dietary associations reflect socioeconomic and behavioural confounding.",
        "strongest_supporting_evidence": [
          "Cohorts and adherence analyses have substantial shared vulnerabilities."
        ],
        "strongest_contradictory_evidence": [
          "Confounding alone does not explain controlled feeding and randomized particle-lowering clinical effects."
        ],
        "hsef_level_for_this_model": "Β",
        "rationale": "Cohorts and adherence analyses have substantial shared vulnerabilities. Confounding alone does not explain controlled feeding and randomized particle-lowering clinical effects."
      }
    ],
    "tournament_summary": "Descriptive comparison; does not modify the nominal score. The randomized coconut/olive/butter comparison (PMID29511019) and palm/cocoa-butter comparison (PMID31227804) best discriminate matrix-specific lipid effects from a uniform saturated-fat-class model. Neither supplies a clinical-event separator. DIVAS (PMID26016869) separates lipid benefit from its null primary vascular endpoint, while particle trials establish a different causal link.",
    "study_separating_rank1_from_rank2": "The randomized coconut/olive/butter comparison (PMID29511019) and palm/cocoa-butter comparison (PMID31227804) best discriminate matrix-specific lipid effects from a uniform saturated-fat-class model. Neither supplies a clinical-event separator. DIVAS (PMID26016869) separates lipid benefit from its null primary vascular endpoint, while particle trials establish a different causal link.",
    "nominal_wins_only_by_funding_artifact": false,
    "level_unchanged_by_tournament": true
  },
  "evidence_inventory": [
    {
      "n": 1,
      "pmid": "32209700",
      "title": "Dietary Fats and Atherosclerosis From Childhood to Adulthood.",
      "citation": "Laitinen TT, Nuotio J, Rovio SP et al. Dietary Fats and Atherosclerosis From Childhood to Adulthood. Pediatrics. 2020.",
      "doi": "10.1542/peds.2019-2786",
      "pmcid": "",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32209700/",
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      "opened": true,
      "opened_on": "2026-10-12",
      "status_checked_on": "2026-10-12",
      "study_id": "STRIP",
      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
        "SC1",
        "SC3"
      ],
      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Achieving STRIP dietary targets associates with better aortic structure and distensibility.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Target attainment is not randomized; shared parent cohort and surrogate vascular outcomes.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Target attainment is not randomized; shared parent cohort and surrogate vascular outcomes."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
      "citation_context": {
        "retrieved": false,
        "supporting_count": 0,
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      "discriminating_contrast": false,
      "decisive_test_note": "",
      "shared_components": []
    },
    {
      "n": 2,
      "pmid": "393644",
      "title": "Dietary prevention of coronary heart disease: the Finnish Mental Hospital Study.",
      "citation": "Turpeinen O, Karvonen MJ, Pekkarinen M et al. Dietary prevention of coronary heart disease: the Finnish Mental Hospital Study. International journal of epidemiology. 1979.",
      "doi": "10.1093/ije/8.2.99",
      "pmcid": "",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/393644/",
      "source_pointer": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/393644/",
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      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
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        "SC3"
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      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Finnish hospital diet periods with lower saturated fat/cholesterol show lower serum cholesterol and coronary incidence.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Hospital-period crossover, changing admissions and multifactor diet prevent clean individual randomization or selective fat mediation.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Hospital-period crossover, changing admissions and multifactor diet prevent clean individual randomization or selective fat mediation."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
      "citation_context": {
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      "discriminating_contrast": true,
      "decisive_test_note": "",
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    },
    {
      "n": 3,
      "pmid": "30072407",
      "title": "Success in Achieving the Targets of the 20-Year Infancy-Onset Dietary Intervention: Association With Insulin Sensitivity and Serum Lipids.",
      "citation": "Laitinen TT, Nuotio J, Juonala M et al. Success in Achieving the Targets of the 20-Year Infancy-Onset Dietary Intervention: Association With Insulin Sensitivity and Serum Lipids. Diabetes care. 2018.",
      "doi": "10.2337/dc18-0869",
      "pmcid": "",
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      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
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      ],
      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "STRIP target achievement associates with improved lipids and insulin sensitivity.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Postrandomization adherence comparison; shares recruitment with PMID32209700 and changes fibre too.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Postrandomization adherence comparison; shares recruitment with PMID32209700 and changes fibre too."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
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      "discriminating_contrast": false,
      "decisive_test_note": "",
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    },
    {
      "n": 4,
      "pmid": "3773141",
      "title": "Comparison of three cholesterol-lowering diets in normolipidemic men.",
      "citation": "Grundy SM, Nix D, Whelan MF et al. Comparison of three cholesterol-lowering diets in normolipidemic men. JAMA. 1986.",
      "doi": "",
      "pmcid": "",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/3773141/",
      "source_pointer": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/3773141/",
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      "opened": true,
      "opened_on": "2026-10-12",
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      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Three replacement diets lower LDL in a small domiciliary feeding study.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Very small sample; multiple macronutrient changes and no coronary endpoints.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Very small sample; multiple macronutrient changes and no coronary endpoints."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
      "citation_context": {
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    {
      "n": 5,
      "pmid": "41390743",
      "title": "Effects of an anti-lipogenic low-carbohydrate high polyunsaturated fat diet or a healthy Nordic diet versus usual care on liver fat and cardiometabolic disorders in type 2 diabetes or prediabetes: a randomized controlled trial (NAFLDiet).",
      "citation": "Fridén M, Rosqvist F, Kullberg J et al. Effects of an anti-lipogenic low-carbohydrate high polyunsaturated fat diet or a healthy Nordic diet versus usual care on liver fat and cardiometabolic disorders in type 2 diabetes or prediabetes: a randomized controlled trial (NAFLDiet). Nature communications. 2025.",
      "doi": "10.1038/s41467-025-65613-2",
      "pmcid": "PMC12705689",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41390743/",
      "source_pointer": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41390743/",
      "tier": "A",
      "source_tier": "A",
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        "none_found"
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      "opened_on": "2026-10-12",
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      "study_id": "PMID41390743",
      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "LCPUFA and Nordic diets reduce LDL and liver fat versus usual care in metabolic disease.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Ad-libitum dietary patterns and differing weight changes; no selective saturated-fat clinical-outcome attribution.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Ad-libitum dietary patterns and differing weight changes; no selective saturated-fat clinical-outcome attribution."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
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    {
      "n": 6,
      "pmid": "3511692",
      "title": "Oslo Study Diet and Antismoking Trial. Results after 102 months.",
      "citation": "Hjermann I, Holme I, Leren P. Oslo Study Diet and Antismoking Trial. Results after 102 months. The American journal of medicine. 1986.",
      "doi": "10.1016/0002-9343(86)90154-3",
      "pmcid": "",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/3511692/",
      "source_pointer": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/3511692/",
      "tier": "A",
      "source_tier": "A",
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        "none_found"
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      "opened_on": "2026-10-12",
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      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Oslo diet/antismoking intervention retains lower coronary-event rates on follow-up.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Diet and smoking were changed together; clinical benefit is not exclusively saturated-fat replacement.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Diet and smoking were changed together; clinical benefit is not exclusively saturated-fat replacement."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
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      "decisive_test_note": "",
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    },
    {
      "n": 7,
      "pmid": "33801247",
      "title": "A Ketogenic Low-Carbohydrate High-Fat Diet Increases LDL Cholesterol in Healthy, Young, Normal-Weight Women: A Randomized Controlled Feeding Trial.",
      "citation": "Burén J, Ericsson M, Damasceno NRT et al. A Ketogenic Low-Carbohydrate High-Fat Diet Increases LDL Cholesterol in Healthy, Young, Normal-Weight Women: A Randomized Controlled Feeding Trial. Nutrients. 2021.",
      "doi": "10.3390/nu13030814",
      "pmcid": "PMC8001988",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33801247/",
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      "opened_on": "2026-10-12",
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      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "relates_to_subclaims": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "favors_models": [],
      "evidence_class": "Moderate",
      "system": "human interventional",
      "decisive_perturbation": false,
      "endogenous": true,
      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Ketogenic high-fat feeding raises LDL and apoB in young normal-weight women.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Carbohydrate, total fat and fatty-acid composition all change; incomplete retention and short duration.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Carbohydrate, total fat and fatty-acid composition all change; incomplete retention and short duration."
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verification_note": "Bounded source attribution; not proof of the nominal mechanism.",
      "citation_context": {
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    },
    {
      "n": 8,
      "pmid": "34582545",
      "title": "Effects of a low-carbohydrate diet on insulin-resistant dyslipoproteinemia-a randomized controlled feeding trial.",
      "citation": "Ebbeling CB, Knapp A, Johnson A et al. Effects of a low-carbohydrate diet on insulin-resistant dyslipoproteinemia-a randomized controlled feeding trial. The American journal of clinical nutrition. 2022.",
      "doi": "10.1093/ajcn/nqab287",
      "pmcid": "PMC8755039",
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      "status_flags": [
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      "confounders_present": [
        "Carbohydrate replacement differs from fixed cis-unsaturated replacement; linked correction details not examined."
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      "title": "Fatty acid regio-specificity of triacylglycerol molecules may affect plasma lipid responses to dietary fats-a randomised controlled cross-over trial.",
      "citation": "Stonehouse W, Benassi-Evans B, James-Martin G et al. Fatty acid regio-specificity of triacylglycerol molecules may affect plasma lipid responses to dietary fats-a randomised controlled cross-over trial. European journal of clinical nutrition. 2020.",
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      "what_it_shows": "Palm/cocoa-butter and olive-oil diets have similar tested lipid responses in young participants.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Fatty-acid positioning and limited sample/time constrain universal fat-class predictions.",
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        "Fatty-acid positioning and limited sample/time constrain universal fat-class predictions."
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      "pmid": "26429077",
      "title": "Saturated Fats Compared With Unsaturated Fats and Sources of Carbohydrates in Relation to Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study.",
      "citation": "Li Y, Hruby A, Bernstein AM et al. Saturated Fats Compared With Unsaturated Fats and Sources of Carbohydrates in Relation to Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2015.",
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      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Cohort substitution models associate replacing SFA with PUFA/MUFA with lower CHD risk.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Diet-reporting, residual confounding and overlapping US cohorts; modeled exchange is not randomized.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Diet-reporting, residual confounding and overlapping US cohorts; modeled exchange is not randomized."
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      "pmid": "27557656",
      "title": "Dairy fat and risk of cardiovascular disease in 3 cohorts of US adults.",
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      "direction": "mixed",
      "what_it_shows": "Dairy-fat substitution risk differs by replacement nutrient; PUFA replacement associates with lower CVD.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Dairy versus carbohydrate is not the nominal comparison; overlaps US cohort resources.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Dairy versus carbohydrate is not the nominal comparison; overlaps US cohort resources."
      ],
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      "pmid": "30167851",
      "title": "Fatty acids from dairy and meat and their association with risk of coronary heart disease.",
      "citation": "Vissers LET, Rijksen J, Boer JMA et al. Fatty acids from dairy and meat and their association with risk of coronary heart disease. European journal of nutrition. 2019.",
      "doi": "10.1007/s00394-018-1811-1",
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      "what_it_shows": "Meat-versus-dairy SFA substitution associates with different coronary risk.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Observational food-matrix differences and residual confounding; cannot isolate fatty acids alone.",
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        "Observational food-matrix differences and residual confounding; cannot isolate fatty acids alone."
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      "pmid": "39279644",
      "title": "Saturated fatty acids and total and CVD mortality in Norway: a prospective cohort study with up to 45 years of follow-up.",
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      "what_it_shows": "Long-term Norwegian data associate higher SFA intake with mortality and model benefit of replacement.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Measurement error, secular changes and residual confounding; theoretical exchange is not an intervention.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Measurement error, secular changes and residual confounding; theoretical exchange is not an intervention."
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      "pmid": "32203549",
      "title": "Evaluating the relationship between circulating lipoprotein lipids and apolipoproteins with risk of coronary heart disease: A multivariable Mendelian randomisation analysis.",
      "citation": "Richardson TG, Sanderson E, Palmer TM et al. Evaluating the relationship between circulating lipoprotein lipids and apolipoproteins with risk of coronary heart disease: A multivariable Mendelian randomisation analysis. PLoS medicine. 2020.",
      "doi": "10.1371/journal.pmed.1003062",
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      "what_it_shows": "Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Instrument validity, collinearity and shared GWAS restrict exclusive mediation interpretation.",
      "confounders_present": [
        "Instrument validity, collinearity and shared GWAS restrict exclusive mediation interpretation."
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      "pmid": "33130851",
      "title": "High-throughput multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis prioritizes apolipoprotein B as key lipid risk factor for coronary artery disease.",
      "citation": "Zuber V, Gill D, Ala-Korpela M et al. High-throughput multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis prioritizes apolipoprotein B as key lipid risk factor for coronary artery disease. International journal of epidemiology. 2021.",
      "doi": "10.1093/ije/dyaa216",
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      "n": 16,
      "pmid": "30694319",
      "title": "Association of Triglyceride-Lowering LPL Variants and LDL-C-Lowering LDLR Variants With Risk of Coronary Heart Disease.",
      "citation": "Ference BA, Kastelein JJP, Ray KK et al. Association of Triglyceride-Lowering LPL Variants and LDL-C-Lowering LDLR Variants With Risk of Coronary Heart Disease. JAMA. 2019.",
      "doi": "10.1001/jama.2018.20045",
      "pmcid": "PMC6439767",
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      "what_it_shows": "LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Lifelong genetic exposure and pleiotropy; does not estimate a food-substitution treatment effect.",
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      "n": 17,
      "pmid": "38241044",
      "title": "Dose-Response Associations of Lipid Traits With Coronary Artery Disease and Mortality.",
      "citation": "Yang G, Mason AM, Wood AM et al. Dose-Response Associations of Lipid Traits With Coronary Artery Disease and Mortality. JAMA network open. 2024.",
      "doi": "10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.52572",
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      "what_it_shows": "Genetically predicted apoB and LDL associate with coronary disease and mortality across dose ranges.",
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      "n": 18,
      "pmid": "38102060",
      "title": "The relationship between genetic liver fat and coronary heart disease is explained by apoB-containing lipoproteins.",
      "citation": "Björnson E, Adiels M, Bergström G et al. The relationship between genetic liver fat and coronary heart disease is explained by apoB-containing lipoproteins. Atherosclerosis. 2024.",
      "doi": "10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2023.117397",
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      "what_it_shows": "Liver-fat genetic clusters show coronary-risk directions aligning with apoB changes.",
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        "Statistical mediation and pleiotropy cannot establish all biological pathways or dietary specificity."
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      "n": 19,
      "pmid": "38233012",
      "title": "Lipoprotein(a) Is Markedly More Atherogenic Than LDL: An Apolipoprotein B-Based Genetic Analysis.",
      "citation": "Björnson E, Adiels M, Taskinen MR et al. Lipoprotein(a) Is Markedly More Atherogenic Than LDL: An Apolipoprotein B-Based Genetic Analysis. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2024.",
      "doi": "10.1016/j.jacc.2023.10.039",
      "pmcid": "PMC7616706",
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      "direction": "supports",
      "what_it_shows": "Genetic analysis estimates greater CHD atherogenicity per Lp(a)-apoB particle than LDL-apoB.",
      "what_it_does_not_show": "Particle types are not interchangeable; assumptions and populations constrain the magnitude estimate.",
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        "Particle types are not interchangeable; assumptions and populations constrain the magnitude estimate."
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      "title": "Associations of fats and carbohydrate intake with cardiovascular disease and mortality in 18 countries from five continents (PURE): a prospective cohort study.",
      "citation": "Dehghan M, Mente A, Zhang X et al. Associations of fats and carbohydrate intake with cardiovascular disease and mortality in 18 countries from five continents (PURE): a prospective cohort study. Lancet (London, England). 2017.",
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      "citation": "Ho FK, Gray SR, Welsh P et al. Associations of fat and carbohydrate intake with cardiovascular disease and mortality: prospective cohort study of UK Biobank participants. BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2020.",
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      "title": "Cashew consumption reduces total and LDL cholesterol: a randomized, crossover, controlled-feeding trial.",
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      "title": "Biologic and quality-of-life outcomes from the Mediterranean Lifestyle Program: a randomized clinical trial.",
      "citation": "Toobert DJ, Glasgow RE, Strycker LA et al. Biologic and quality-of-life outcomes from the Mediterranean Lifestyle Program: a randomized clinical trial. Diabetes care. 2003.",
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      "title": "Development of new coronary atherosclerotic lesions during a 4-year multifactor risk reduction program: the Stanford Coronary Risk Intervention Project (SCRIP).",
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      "title": "Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease with a Mediterranean Diet Supplemented with Extra-Virgin Olive Oil or Nuts.",
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      "pmid": "27071971",
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      "title": "Replacement of saturated with unsaturated fats had no impact on vascular function but beneficial effects on lipid biomarkers, E-selectin, and blood pressure: results from the randomized, controlled Dietary Intervention and VAScular function (DIVAS) study.",
      "citation": "Vafeiadou K, Weech M, Altowaijri H et al. Replacement of saturated with unsaturated fats had no impact on vascular function but beneficial effects on lipid biomarkers, E-selectin, and blood pressure: results from the randomized, controlled Dietary Intervention and VAScular function (DIVAS) study. The American journal of clinical nutrition. 2015.",
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  "verification_summary": {
    "load_bearing_claims_checked": 57,
    "verified": 57,
    "unverified": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "note": "Verified attribution is distinct from mechanism truth or complete body access."
  },
  "factual_issues_found": [],
  "cap_rules_applied": [
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC1",
      "cap": "Γ",
      "cap_source": "universal",
      "triggered": true,
      "trigger_text_quoted": "Biomarker change without functional/phenotypic change caps at Γ.",
      "specific_trigger": "Controlled feeding demonstrates a real biochemical LDL/apoB response, with heterogeneous responses across food matrices and comparators. The isolated SC1 evidence has biomarker endpoints, so the aging rubric functional-phenotype ceiling is Γ; this letter does not deny causality of the measured lipid response.",
      "resulting_ceiling": "Γ"
    }
  ],
  "cap_precedence_resolutions": [
    {
      "collision": "Perturbation in a defined setting versus broader inference",
      "subclaim_scope_cap_binds_on": "Replacing cis-unsaturated dietary fats with saturated fats causally increases ASCVD risk through elevation of LDL/apoB particles.",
      "subclaim_scope_threshold_binds_on": "The precise experimentally tested subclaim scope",
      "resolution": "The biomarker-only cap binds isolated SC1 and dietary LDL-only evidence offered as direct event proof. It is not reapplied to the complementary human genetic plus randomized clinical SC2 set. SC3 uses that set with clinical dietary intervention and substitution evidence; it cannot inherit Η wholesale because diet-specific net effects and selective mediation retain shared confounders. Carbohydrate and trans-fat comparisons do not silently replace the registered cis-unsaturated comparator.",
      "note": "Convergent lines are assessed as a set; one weak leg is not re-capped over the assembled case."
    }
  ],
  "boundary_check_BGD": [
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC1",
      "field_valid_perturbation_quote": "\n- Genetic or pharmacologic intervention producing reproducible lifespan/healthspan extension\n- Must separate developmental effects from true aging effects\n- Biomarker change alone does NOT satisfy this threshold",
      "qualifying_evidence_present": "no",
      "qualifying_evidence_citation": "",
      "gamma_hard_rules_triggered": [
        "Abstract association, cellular rescue and biomarker response alone do not demonstrate the registered human clinical claim.",
        "Positive narrow perturbations retain their scope; null studies do not earn positive threshold crossings."
      ],
      "disease_phenotype_relevance": "yes",
      "perturbation_result_positive": "no",
      "perturbation_result_note": "Controlled feeding demonstrates a real biochemical LDL/apoB response, with heterogeneous responses across food matrices and comparators. The isolated SC1 evidence has biomarker endpoints, so the aging rubric functional-phenotype ceiling is Γ; this letter does not deny causality of the measured lipid response.",
      "ceiling_from_boundary_check": "Γ"
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC2",
      "field_valid_perturbation_quote": "\n- Genetic or pharmacologic intervention producing reproducible lifespan/healthspan extension\n- Must separate developmental effects from true aging effects\n- Biomarker change alone does NOT satisfy this threshold",
      "qualifying_evidence_present": "yes",
      "qualifying_evidence_citation": "PMID32203549, PMID30694319, PMID28304224, PMID30403574, PMID41211925",
      "gamma_hard_rules_triggered": [
        "Abstract association, cellular rescue and biomarker response alone do not demonstrate the registered human clinical claim.",
        "Positive narrow perturbations retain their scope; null studies do not earn positive threshold crossings."
      ],
      "disease_phenotype_relevance": "yes",
      "perturbation_result_positive": "yes",
      "perturbation_result_note": "Randomized clinical particle-lowering, human causal genetics and lifelong hypercholesterolemia converge on apoB-particle contribution to ASCVD. Different genotypes, drug strategies and clinical settings constrain distinct errors. Dietary trial conflicts do not overturn this independently supported causal component.",
      "ceiling_from_boundary_check": "Δ or higher"
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC3",
      "field_valid_perturbation_quote": "\n- Genetic or pharmacologic intervention producing reproducible lifespan/healthspan extension\n- Must separate developmental effects from true aging effects\n- Biomarker change alone does NOT satisfy this threshold",
      "qualifying_evidence_present": "yes",
      "qualifying_evidence_citation": "PMID393644, PMID3511692, PMID30694319, PMID28304224, PMID29897866",
      "gamma_hard_rules_triggered": [
        "Abstract association, cellular rescue and biomarker response alone do not demonstrate the registered human clinical claim.",
        "Positive narrow perturbations retain their scope; null studies do not earn positive threshold crossings."
      ],
      "disease_phenotype_relevance": "yes",
      "perturbation_result_positive": "yes",
      "perturbation_result_note": "The assembled replacement, particle-causal and clinical-dietary evidence supports context-specific particle-mediated risk. It is stronger than biomarkers alone when read as a complementary causal set, but direct diet-specific clinical mediation, universal food-class effects and equally supported MUFA/PUFA event benefits remain unresolved. Clinical dietary patterns and historical replacements map restricted context rather than a universal guaranteed outcome.",
      "ceiling_from_boundary_check": "Δ or higher"
    }
  ],
  "thresholds_tested": [
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC1",
      "threshold": "Δ",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires at least one intervention changing lifespan or healthspan in a way consistent with the hypothesis.",
      "satisfied": "no",
      "supporting_evidence": [],
      "what_would_cross_it": "Functional clinical outcomes linked to the measured particle change are required to exceed its isolated biomarker ceiling; the complementary SC2 set supplies that broader clinical link."
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC2",
      "threshold": "Δ",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires at least one intervention changing lifespan or healthspan in a way consistent with the hypothesis.",
      "satisfied": "yes",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[14] Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[26] Randomized alirocumab reduces clinical events after acute coronary syndrome.",
        "[27] Evolocumab reduces first cardiovascular-event composites in selected high-risk patients without prior MI/stroke."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": ""
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC2",
      "threshold": "Ε",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires causal effect in constrained contexts, backgrounds, or species.",
      "satisfied": "yes",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[14] Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[26] Randomized alirocumab reduces clinical events after acute coronary syndrome.",
        "[27] Evolocumab reduces first cardiovascular-event composites in selected high-risk patients without prior MI/stroke."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": ""
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC2",
      "threshold": "Ζ",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires:\n- Reproducible intervention effects\n- Mechanistic narrowing\n- Evidence not reducible to general sickness, caloric reduction, or developmental artifacts",
      "satisfied": "yes",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[14] Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[26] Randomized alirocumab reduces clinical events after acute coronary syndrome.",
        "[27] Evolocumab reduces first cardiovascular-event composites in selected high-risk patients without prior MI/stroke."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": ""
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC2",
      "threshold": "Η",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires:\n- Robust cross-context intervention evidence\n- Mechanistic specificity\n- Strong alignment of lifespan/healthspan outcomes",
      "satisfied": "yes",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[14] Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[26] Randomized alirocumab reduces clinical events after acute coronary syndrome.",
        "[27] Evolocumab reduces first cardiovascular-event composites in selected high-risk patients without prior MI/stroke."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": ""
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC2",
      "threshold": "Θ",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires high reproducibility with minimal contextual contradiction.",
      "satisfied": "no",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[14] Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[26] Randomized alirocumab reduces clinical events after acute coronary syndrome.",
        "[27] Evolocumab reduces first cardiovascular-event composites in selected high-risk patients without prior MI/stroke."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": "Further independent selective perturbation with prespecified particle-mediated clinical prediction, stable applicability across risk/ancestry and explicit residual-risk accounting would support Θ; neither universal necessity nor sufficiency is shown."
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC3",
      "threshold": "Δ",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires at least one intervention changing lifespan or healthspan in a way consistent with the hypothesis.",
      "satisfied": "yes",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[2] Finnish hospital diet periods with lower saturated fat/cholesterol show lower serum cholesterol and coronary incidence.",
        "[6] Oslo diet/antismoking intervention retains lower coronary-event rates on follow-up.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[49] Corrected PREDIMED analysis retains lower cardiovascular events for olive-oil/nut Mediterranean diets."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": ""
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC3",
      "threshold": "Ε",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires causal effect in constrained contexts, backgrounds, or species.",
      "satisfied": "yes",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[2] Finnish hospital diet periods with lower saturated fat/cholesterol show lower serum cholesterol and coronary incidence.",
        "[6] Oslo diet/antismoking intervention retains lower coronary-event rates on follow-up.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[49] Corrected PREDIMED analysis retains lower cardiovascular events for olive-oil/nut Mediterranean diets."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": ""
    },
    {
      "subclaim_id": "SC3",
      "threshold": "Ζ",
      "requirement_quoted": "Requires:\n- Reproducible intervention effects\n- Mechanistic narrowing\n- Evidence not reducible to general sickness, caloric reduction, or developmental artifacts",
      "satisfied": "no",
      "supporting_evidence": [
        "[2] Finnish hospital diet periods with lower saturated fat/cholesterol show lower serum cholesterol and coronary incidence.",
        "[6] Oslo diet/antismoking intervention retains lower coronary-event rates on follow-up.",
        "[16] LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects.",
        "[25] Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background.",
        "[49] Corrected PREDIMED analysis retains lower cardiovascular events for olive-oil/nut Mediterranean diets."
      ],
      "what_would_cross_it": "A well-controlled long-term isoenergetic SFA-for-cis-UFA trial, specified fatty-acid species and food matrices, verified sustained apoB separation and adjudicated ASCVD events, with independent replication and prespecified mediation, would narrow major alternatives sufficiently for Ζ."
    }
  ],
  "generalization_check": {
    "generalization_tested": "yes",
    "context_boundary_mapped": "yes",
    "internal_negative_controls": [
      "Minnesota lowers cholesterol without clinical/mortality benefit; original report and recovered analysis share one trial.",
      "Sydney linoleic-acid intervention has unfavorable mortality, with precise trans-fat composition unresolved.",
      "DIVAS primary vascular-function endpoint is null despite secondary lipid improvement.",
      "Coconut/olive and palm/cocoa-butter trials limit uniform SFA-class lipid responses."
    ],
    "note": "Baseline metabolic state, fatty-acid species, cis-PUFA versus cis-MUFA, food matrix and duration map positive context boundaries. Carb replacement and multicomponent diet benefits address different contrasts. This is context-specific risk contribution, not universal mortality benefit."
  },
  "falsification_patterns_met": [
    {
      "pattern": "Biomarker improvement without the proposed clinical benefit",
      "evidence": "Minnesota and DIVAS retain null clinical/vascular endpoints despite cholesterol lowering; effects constrain universality without re-capping independent SC2.",
      "downgrade_applied": false
    }
  ],
  "pitfalls_flagged": [
    {
      "pitfall": "Primary clinical mediation inferred from a lipid-only endpoint",
      "where": "SC1 and short feeding studies; DIVAS projected mortality."
    },
    {
      "pitfall": "Wrong replacement comparator",
      "where": "Carbohydrate, trans-fat and multicomponent-diet results do not equal fixed cis-UFA exchange."
    },
    {
      "pitfall": "Shared cohort reports counted as independent causal lines",
      "where": "FOURIER, STRIP, Minnesota, RISSCI and repeated GWAS resources."
    }
  ],
  "causal_tally_audit": {
    "tally_claimed_by_document": 8,
    "tally_after_audit": 8,
    "tally_unit": "Positive qualifying study units across scoped subclaims, not independent causal lines or full-claim necessity/sufficiency.",
    "screened_discriminating_contrasts": 37,
    "items_rejected": [
      "Null and negative contrasts are discriminators, not positive threshold crossings. Reports and replications are not independent causal lines.",
      "Reports sharing recruitment, instruments or randomization are not automatically independent causal lines.",
      "The tally includes discriminating contrasts; positive qualifying source lists alone determine threshold crossings."
    ]
  },
  "steelman": {
    "case_one_rung_higher": "One rung above, Ζ: randomized feeding, natural genetics, drug clinical outcomes and multiple diet programs are orthogonal. Together they warrant causal risk expectation. However, independent same-scope selective dietary clinical mediation is not established across matrices and both cis-UFA classes; endpoint conflicts and shared historical-trial limitations leave major alternatives open.",
    "case_one_rung_lower": "One rung below, Δ: only a first contribution has been shown and direct selective feeding-event proof is weak. Yet the biochemical-to-clinical chain has independent human causal support, multiple clinical dietary contexts and mapped comparator boundaries. Ε better represents causal operation with constrained generalization, while the assignment remains less secure than SC2.",
    "which_rejected": "Retain Ε for assembled SC3; reject automatic transfer to Ζ and reject biomarker-only Γ as a description of the entire complementary clinical causal set.",
    "blocking_cap_threshold_or_missing_experiment": "Missing experiment: Independently run, preregistered long-term isoenergetic replacement trial with fixed SFA species, cis-PUFA/cis-MUFA comparators, matched food matrices, trans-fat measurement, sustained apoB separation and blinded adjudicated ASCVD outcomes; prospectively test mediation and competing metabolic pathways."
  },
  "final_score": {
    "hsef_level": "Ε",
    "hsef_descriptor": "Context-specific causality established",
    "confidence": "Moderate",
    "confidence_rationale": "53 primary reports with 4 selected partial-body examinations; density, heterogeneous controls and incomplete access set the confidence, not correctness.",
    "rests_on_non_peer_reviewed_work": false,
    "rationale": "Overall Ε follows preregistered SC3. The isolated biomarker component is Γ and the independently convergent particle-to-ASCVD component is Η. SC3 is assessed on their assembled complementary evidence with clinical dietary results, not by reimposing the biomarker cap on the whole set. Comparator-specific effects, historical endpoint conflicts, food matrix and uncertain selective mediation prevent broad diet-specific Ζ. This remains a bounded reviewer judgement, not a numerical estimate of individual risk."
  },
  "role_of_mechanism": {
    "classification": "reinforcing / stabilizing factor",
    "derivation_step_matched": 5,
    "derivation": "Dietary exposure changes lipids and clinical risk, so it is not solely a downstream marker or co-occurrence. Replacing this exposure neither prevents all ASCVD nor has proven universal initiating/rate-limiting status; familial, metabolic and other risks persist. It is not universally required. Step 5 assigns a modifiable amplifier of atherosclerotic risk, not a sole primary cause.",
    "tournament_used_as_tiebreaker": false,
    "note": "Derived from causal direction, not tournament rank."
  },
  "extended_scoring_MSD": {
    "momentum": {
      "value": "Mechanistic only",
      "artifact": "RISSCI-2 (PMID42664559, 2026) tests absorption as a response mechanism and does not find it explains the high/low-response contrast. VESALIUS-CV (PMID41211925) extends clinical particle lowering to a different risk population. Neither is a new selective dietary mediation trial crossing SC3 to Ζ.",
      "justification": "RISSCI-2 (PMID42664559, 2026) tests absorption as a response mechanism and does not find it explains the high/low-response contrast. VESALIUS-CV (PMID41211925) extends clinical particle lowering to a different risk population. Neither is a new selective dietary mediation trial crossing SC3 to Ζ."
    },
    "stability": {
      "value": "Stable",
      "trigger": "No verified named pending result that would change the registered full-scope grade was identified. This does not mean that no relevant trial exists.",
      "justification": "No verified named pending result that would change the registered full-scope grade was identified. This does not mean that no relevant trial exists."
    },
    "divergence": {
      "implied_level": null,
      "implied_level_basis": "No single field-implied level is defensible from conflicting framings.",
      "assessed_level": "Ε",
      "gap_in_rungs": null,
      "value": "Contested",
      "justification": "No manufactured field consensus or arithmetic gap."
    },
    "calibration_note": "M/S/D never modify HSEF level or confidence."
  },
  "change_record": {
    "applies": false,
    "prior_level": "none assigned",
    "prior_confidence": null,
    "prior_source": null,
    "derived_before_consulting_prior": true,
    "new_level": "Ε",
    "direction": "newly assigned",
    "what_moved_it": "Fresh primary evidence appraisal; not blinded.",
    "divergence_from_other_reviewers": null
  },
  "proposed_decisive_experiments": [
    {
      "name": "Registered boundary experiment",
      "experiment": "Independently run, preregistered long-term isoenergetic replacement trial with fixed SFA species, cis-PUFA/cis-MUFA comparators, matched food matrices, trans-fat measurement, sustained apoB separation and blinded adjudicated ASCVD outcomes; prospectively test mediation and competing metabolic pathways.",
      "readout": "Adjudicated ASCVD events and prespecified exposure/apoB-mediated risk differences",
      "critical_control": "Energy balance, food matrix, adherence, medications, cis/trans composition, unbiased allocation and outcome assessment",
      "supporting_result": "Replicated clinical event separation aligned with sustained particle differences under the specified replacement",
      "falsifying_result": "Adequate sustained exposure and apoB separation with precise absent or opposite event effect, or benefits explained by prespecified nonparticle pathways"
    }
  ],
  "knowledge_gaps": [
    {
      "name": "Gap 1",
      "statement": "Selective diet-specific clinical mediation remains weaker than particle causality.",
      "relevance": "Limits mechanism identification or scope."
    },
    {
      "name": "Gap 2",
      "statement": "Cis-MUFA and cis-PUFA, individual SFA species and food matrices need separate effect estimates.",
      "relevance": "Limits mechanism identification or scope."
    },
    {
      "name": "Gap 3",
      "statement": "Historical trans-fat exposure and incomplete data recovery remain unresolved; contamination must not be asserted as an established explanation of nulls.",
      "relevance": "Limits mechanism identification or scope."
    },
    {
      "name": "Gap 4",
      "statement": "Mean response and responder-defined follow-up are distinct populations.",
      "relevance": "Limits mechanism identification or scope."
    },
    {
      "name": "Gap 5",
      "statement": "More diverse clinical populations and complete correction/supplement checks are needed.",
      "relevance": "Limits mechanism identification or scope."
    }
  ],
  "review_metadata": {
    "review_date": "2026-10-11",
    "reviewer": "Codex",
    "evidence_base_note": "53 primary reports; literature cutoff 2026-10-09; source examination UTC date 2026-10-12; bounded critical review, not exhaustive systematic review.",
    "literature_tools_available": true,
    "literature_tools_note": "Life Sciences Literature PubMed/Entrez, separately logged public original-body retrieval, and Consensus Pro browser searches. Provider output retained as observed browser text with citation-link mappings, or as previously exported connector documents where present. AI synthesis is not primary full-text verification. Consensus retrieved/included counts are not examined-primary counts. One Scite call covered five anchors: provider tallies and outgoing reference contexts, not audited incoming contrasting statements. One SciSpace discovery call returned supplementary leads; none added to the primary count. No independent blinded review.",
    "skill_version": "5.3",
    "validator_run": "PASS: exact archived HSEF v5.3 validator, rerun after final sealing.",
    "validator_warnings_addressed": "No warnings.",
    "limits": "Bounded critical review; not an exhaustive systematic review, complete-paper audit, independent scientific peer review or blinded calibration. HIV is an existing draft carried forward after a source checkpoint."
  },
  "is_calibration_entry": {
    "value": false,
    "entry_role": "not_calibration",
    "blind_graded": null,
    "completed_blinded_calibration": false,
    "expected_band_sealed_at": "",
    "target_sha256": "",
    "target_authorship": "not applicable",
    "target_author_saw_review": null,
    "future_run_status": "not prepared",
    "unblinded_reason": "Ranking categorical verdict and index guidance were visible. No completed blinded calibration claimed."
  },
  "upper_ladder_check": {
    "final_level_below_zeta": true,
    "equivalents_considered": [
      {
        "kind": "mendelian_randomization",
        "available": true,
        "why_not_sufficient": "Human MR, lifelong exposure and randomized clinical perturbation support Η for SC2 despite individual observational weaknesses. Shared UK Biobank/GWAS and PCSK9 class dependencies are retained. SC3 lacks equally independent, selective diet-specific clinical mediation across predetermined replacements and matrices; this scope gap prevents Ζ without downgrading the independent particle causal set."
      },
      {
        "kind": "natural_experiment",
        "available": true,
        "why_not_sufficient": "Human MR, lifelong exposure and randomized clinical perturbation support Η for SC2 despite individual observational weaknesses. Shared UK Biobank/GWAS and PCSK9 class dependencies are retained. SC3 lacks equally independent, selective diet-specific clinical mediation across predetermined replacements and matrices; this scope gap prevents Ζ without downgrading the independent particle causal set."
      },
      {
        "kind": "dose_response_across_populations",
        "available": false,
        "why_not_sufficient": "Human MR, lifelong exposure and randomized clinical perturbation support Η for SC2 despite individual observational weaknesses. Shared UK Biobank/GWAS and PCSK9 class dependencies are retained. SC3 lacks equally independent, selective diet-specific clinical mediation across predetermined replacements and matrices; this scope gap prevents Ζ without downgrading the independent particle causal set."
      },
      {
        "kind": "withdrawal_rechallenge",
        "available": false,
        "why_not_sufficient": "Human MR, lifelong exposure and randomized clinical perturbation support Η for SC2 despite individual observational weaknesses. Shared UK Biobank/GWAS and PCSK9 class dependencies are retained. SC3 lacks equally independent, selective diet-specific clinical mediation across predetermined replacements and matrices; this scope gap prevents Ζ without downgrading the independent particle causal set."
      },
      {
        "kind": "therapeutic_perturbation_hard_endpoint",
        "available": false,
        "why_not_sufficient": "Human MR, lifelong exposure and randomized clinical perturbation support Η for SC2 despite individual observational weaknesses. Shared UK Biobank/GWAS and PCSK9 class dependencies are retained. SC3 lacks equally independent, selective diet-specific clinical mediation across predetermined replacements and matrices; this scope gap prevents Ζ without downgrading the independent particle causal set."
      }
    ],
    "convergence_present": true,
    "cap_reapplied_to_convergent_set": false
  },
  "provenance_header": {
    "sources_total": 53,
    "claims_total": 57,
    "claims_verified": 57,
    "claims_unverified": 0,
    "claims_contradicted": 0,
    "tier_a_sources": 53,
    "generated_by": "Codex; HSEF v5.3",
    "gate_passed": true
  },
  "claims": [
    {
      "id": "C1",
      "text": "Achieving STRIP dietary targets associates with better aortic structure and distensibility. Target attainment is not randomized; shared parent cohort and surrogate vascular outcomes.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1",
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        1
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C2",
      "text": "Finnish hospital diet periods with lower saturated fat/cholesterol show lower serum cholesterol and coronary incidence. Hospital-period crossover, changing admissions and multifactor diet prevent clean individual randomization or selective fat mediation.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1",
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        2
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C3",
      "text": "STRIP target achievement associates with improved lipids and insulin sensitivity. Postrandomization adherence comparison; shares recruitment with PMID32209700 and changes fibre too.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        3
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C4",
      "text": "Three replacement diets lower LDL in a small domiciliary feeding study. Very small sample; multiple macronutrient changes and no coronary endpoints.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        4
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C5",
      "text": "LCPUFA and Nordic diets reduce LDL and liver fat versus usual care in metabolic disease. Ad-libitum dietary patterns and differing weight changes; no selective saturated-fat clinical-outcome attribution.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        5
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C6",
      "text": "Oslo diet/antismoking intervention retains lower coronary-event rates on follow-up. Diet and smoking were changed together; clinical benefit is not exclusively saturated-fat replacement.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        6
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C7",
      "text": "Ketogenic high-fat feeding raises LDL and apoB in young normal-weight women. Carbohydrate, total fat and fatty-acid composition all change; incomplete retention and short duration.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        7
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C8",
      "text": "High-saturated-fat low-carbohydrate feeding improves selected lipid traits without an LDL increase versus comparators. Carbohydrate replacement differs from fixed cis-unsaturated replacement; linked correction details not examined.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        8
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C9",
      "text": "Palm/cocoa-butter and olive-oil diets have similar tested lipid responses in young participants. Fatty-acid positioning and limited sample/time constrain universal fat-class predictions.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        9
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C10",
      "text": "Cohort substitution models associate replacing SFA with PUFA/MUFA with lower CHD risk. Diet-reporting, residual confounding and overlapping US cohorts; modeled exchange is not randomized.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        10
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C11",
      "text": "Dairy-fat substitution risk differs by replacement nutrient; PUFA replacement associates with lower CVD. Dairy versus carbohydrate is not the nominal comparison; overlaps US cohort resources.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        11
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C12",
      "text": "Meat-versus-dairy SFA substitution associates with different coronary risk. Observational food-matrix differences and residual confounding; cannot isolate fatty acids alone.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        12
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C13",
      "text": "Long-term Norwegian data associate higher SFA intake with mortality and model benefit of replacement. Measurement error, secular changes and residual confounding; theoretical exchange is not an intervention.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        13
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C14",
      "text": "Multivariable MR prioritizes apoB for CHD over correlated lipid measures. Instrument validity, collinearity and shared GWAS restrict exclusive mediation interpretation.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        14
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. Selected body sections: 2:Results:paragraph7. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C15",
      "text": "Agnostic multivariable genetic analysis consistently prioritizes apoB for coronary disease. Shared genetic resources and instrument assumptions; not an independent dietary experiment.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        15
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C16",
      "text": "LPL and LDLR genetic scores yield similar lower CHD risk per apoB decrement despite differing cholesterol/triglyceride effects. Lifelong genetic exposure and pleiotropy; does not estimate a food-substitution treatment effect.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        16
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C17",
      "text": "Genetically predicted apoB and LDL associate with coronary disease and mortality across dose ranges. Selection and nonlinear-MR assumptions; triglyceride pleiotropy and overlapping resources remain.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        17
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C18",
      "text": "Liver-fat genetic clusters show coronary-risk directions aligning with apoB changes. Statistical mediation and pleiotropy cannot establish all biological pathways or dietary specificity.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        18
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C19",
      "text": "Genetic analysis estimates greater CHD atherogenicity per Lp(a)-apoB particle than LDL-apoB. Particle types are not interchangeable; assumptions and populations constrain the magnitude estimate.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        19
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C20",
      "text": "Remnant-associated genetic clusters show greater coronary-risk effects per apoB than LDL-associated clusters. Shared UK Biobank and differing pathways; not all apoB particles have equal risk weights.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        20
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C21",
      "text": "APOC3 and LDL-lowering genetic variants show additive CHD associations aligned with apoB. Drug-target genetic proxies are lifelong and partly pleiotropic; not randomized therapy or diet.",
      "carries_number": true,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        21
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C22",
      "text": "FOURIER extension shows durable low LDL and lower events by original treatment allocation. Selected open-label extension with both groups treated; not a new independent randomization.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        22
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C23",
      "text": "RACING combination therapy is clinically noninferior to intensive statin with more LDL target attainment. Active-active noninferiority does not show benefit against untreated exposure or prove exclusive apoB mediation.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        23
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C24",
      "text": "FOURIER achieved-LDL analysis shows a monotonic relation with later events. Achieved LDL is not randomized; shared parent randomization and selection after baseline.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        24
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C25",
      "text": "Randomized evolocumab reduces LDL and major cardiovascular events on statin background. Drug strategy rather than diet; limited duration and residual risk preclude universal necessity/sufficiency.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        25
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C26",
      "text": "Randomized alirocumab reduces clinical events after acute coronary syndrome. PCSK9 drug class shares mechanistic vulnerabilities with evolocumab; not direct SFA exchange.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        26
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C27",
      "text": "Evolocumab reduces first cardiovascular-event composites in selected high-risk patients without prior MI/stroke. High-risk disease/diabetes eligibility and mostly White participants; not universal primary prevention or a feeding trial.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        27
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C28",
      "text": "GLAGOV LDL lowering reduces coronary plaque volume and increases regression. Imaging phenotype is not clinical-event benefit; mechanistic support complements event trials.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        28
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C29",
      "text": "Monogenic and polygenic hypercholesterolemia associate with higher ASCVD risk even at comparable measured LDL. Lifetime exposure differs from single measurement; selected genotype groups and linked erratum require caution.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        29
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C30",
      "text": "FH variant severity tracks LDL patterns with substantial within-variant variation. Selected familial clinical sample; not a general-population diet intervention or sole causal line.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        30
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C31",
      "text": "Lower achieved LDL in FOURIER-OLE associates with fewer subsequent clinical events. Postrandomization exposure, extension selection and shared cohort; not independent randomized dose assignment.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC2"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        31
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C32",
      "text": "Minnesota dietary replacement lowers cholesterol without overall cardiovascular or mortality benefit. Limited inpatient exposure, dietary cholesterol changes and historical food composition; shares trial with PMID27071971.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1",
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        32
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C33",
      "text": "Lyon Mediterranean dietary pattern retains lower recurrent cardiovascular complications. Multicomponent dietary pattern and secondary prevention; no selective saturated-fat/apoB mediation test.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        33
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C34",
      "text": "Matched weight gain under SFA versus PUFA overfeeding produces different liver/visceral fat accumulation. Excess-calorie metabolic experiment, not ordinary-energy coronary-event replacement.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        34
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C35",
      "text": "Different plant cooking oils alter membrane composition without significant between-group lipid changes. All comparators are plant oils; no direct saturated-versus-cis-unsaturated contrast or clinical endpoints.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        35
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C36",
      "text": "Low-SFA egg-containing feeding lowers LDL versus high-SFA control, with particle-subfraction changes. Eggs and fat composition change together; linked erratum not examined and no measured event reduction.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        36
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C37",
      "text": "PURE associates higher fat intake with lower total mortality and no clear MI/CVD-mortality association. Carbohydrate comparison and socioeconomic/energy confounding differ from fixed cis-unsaturated replacement.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        37
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C38",
      "text": "UK Biobank macronutrient associations are nonlinear and depend on intake range. Diet assessment and residual confounding; correction details not examined and cohort overlaps genetic analyses.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        38
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C39",
      "text": "Cashew feeding lowers LDL relative to a potato-chip snack comparator. Carbohydrate/food-matrix replacement, not selective SFA exchange; short-term biomarkers.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        39
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C40",
      "text": "Controlled safflower/salmon diets show lipid and apoB changes differing between normal and FCHL participants. Genotype and n-3/n-6 effects vary; no coronary endpoints or universal response.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        40
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C41",
      "text": "Mediterranean lifestyle program improves glycemic control and quality of life with nonsignificant lipid patterns. Multicomponent lifestyle intervention cannot isolate dietary fat or particle-mediated ASCVD prevention.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        41
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C42",
      "text": "SCRIP multifactor intervention shows a borderline lesion-level reduction and nonsignificant patient-level new-lesion difference. Multiple risk-factor treatments and correlated vessel segments; dietary correlation is not randomized mediation.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        42
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C43",
      "text": "Weight-maintaining high-fibre vegetable/fruit/nut diet lowers LDL and changes fecal steroid loss. Small short feeding study; fibre and food matrix prevent SFA-specific attribution or clinical-event inference.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        43
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C44",
      "text": "Dietary cholesterol response differs by baseline cholesterol after accounting for regression toward the mean. Responsiveness analysis is not a selective randomized SFA comparison or clinical endpoint test.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        44
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C45",
      "text": "Butter raises LDL relative to olive/coconut oils; coconut and olive responses do not differ significantly. Free-living addition or substitution, short duration and different SFA species; no clinical events.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        45
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. Selected body sections: 1:Methods:paragraph2, 1:Methods:paragraph3. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C46",
      "text": "Canola/safflower diets reduce LDL and apoB versus initial American-diet baseline. Small sample and baseline-to-intervention order; not clinical-outcome evidence.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        46
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C47",
      "text": "Avocado-rich MUFA replacement for carbohydrate improves selected lipids in diabetes. Carbohydrate comparator and food matrix differ from the fixed SFA replacement question.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
        47
      ],
      "verification": "verified",
      "verified_against": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C48",
      "text": "Recovered Sydney trial data show greater mortality under the linoleic-acid replacement intervention. Primary participant-data reanalysis only; original protocol and precise trans-fat exposure unavailable, and linked erratum details not examined.",
      "carries_number": false,
      "load_bearing_for": [
        "SC1",
        "SC3"
      ],
      "source_ns": [
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      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C49",
      "text": "Corrected PREDIMED analysis retains lower cardiovascular events for olive-oil/nut Mediterranean diets. Allocation departures and adjusted reanalysis; multifactor diet versus reduced-fat advice does not isolate the nominal exchange.",
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      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C50",
      "text": "Recovered Minnesota trial data confirm cholesterol lowering without mortality benefit. Primary trial reanalysis only; incomplete raw recovery and inpatient exposure. The 2024 correction repairs a thesis link, not results.",
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      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C51",
      "text": "Randomized isoenergetic DIVAS replacement reduces LDL but not its primary vascular-function endpoint. Estimated mortality reduction is modeled from lipid change, not observed deaths; short duration.",
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      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C52",
      "text": "RISSCI-1 sequential exchange lowers average LDL/apoB with marked individual variation. Nonrandomized fixed sequence and biomarker outcomes; the original design must not be called an RCT.",
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      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "C53",
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      "load_bearing_for": [
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      "verified_on": "2026-10-12",
      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "CSC1",
      "text": "Controlled feeding demonstrates a real biochemical LDL/apoB response, with heterogeneous responses across food matrices and comparators. The isolated SC1 evidence has biomarker endpoints, so the aging rubric functional-phenotype ceiling is Γ; this letter does not deny causality of the measured lipid response.",
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      "note": ""
    },
    {
      "id": "CSC2",
      "text": "Randomized clinical particle-lowering, human causal genetics and lifelong hypercholesterolemia converge on apoB-particle contribution to ASCVD. Different genotypes, drug strategies and clinical settings constrain distinct errors. Dietary trial conflicts do not overturn this independently supported causal component.",
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    {
      "id": "CSC3",
      "text": "The assembled replacement, particle-causal and clinical-dietary evidence supports context-specific particle-mediated risk. It is stronger than biomarkers alone when read as a complementary causal set, but direct diet-specific clinical mediation, universal food-class effects and equally supported MUFA/PUFA event benefits remain unresolved. Clinical dietary patterns and historical replacements map restricted context rather than a universal guaranteed outcome.",
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      "id": "CH",
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      "load_bearing_for": [
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      "doi": "10.1093/ije/8.2.99",
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      "citation": "Grundy SM, Nix D, Whelan MF et al. Comparison of three cholesterol-lowering diets in normolipidemic men. JAMA. 1986.",
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      "n": 5,
      "citation": "Fridén M, Rosqvist F, Kullberg J et al. Effects of an anti-lipogenic low-carbohydrate high polyunsaturated fat diet or a healthy Nordic diet versus usual care on liver fat and cardiometabolic disorders in type 2 diabetes or prediabetes: a randomized controlled trial (NAFLDiet). Nature communications. 2025.",
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      "doi": "10.1038/s41467-025-65613-2",
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      "carries_claims": [
        "C5",
        "CSC1"
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    },
    {
      "n": 6,
      "citation": "Hjermann I, Holme I, Leren P. Oslo Study Diet and Antismoking Trial. Results after 102 months. The American journal of medicine. 1986.",
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      "kind": "rct",
      "pmid": "3511692",
      "doi": "10.1016/0002-9343(86)90154-3",
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      "carries_claims": [
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    },
    {
      "n": 7,
      "citation": "Burén J, Ericsson M, Damasceno NRT et al. A Ketogenic Low-Carbohydrate High-Fat Diet Increases LDL Cholesterol in Healthy, Young, Normal-Weight Women: A Randomized Controlled Feeding Trial. Nutrients. 2021.",
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      "carries_claims": [
        "C7",
        "CSC1"
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 8,
      "citation": "Ebbeling CB, Knapp A, Johnson A et al. Effects of a low-carbohydrate diet on insulin-resistant dyslipoproteinemia-a randomized controlled feeding trial. The American journal of clinical nutrition. 2022.",
      "tier": "A",
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      "pmid": "34582545",
      "doi": "10.1093/ajcn/nqab287",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34582545/",
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      "carries_claims": [
        "C8",
        "CSC1"
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    },
    {
      "n": 9,
      "citation": "Stonehouse W, Benassi-Evans B, James-Martin G et al. Fatty acid regio-specificity of triacylglycerol molecules may affect plasma lipid responses to dietary fats-a randomised controlled cross-over trial. European journal of clinical nutrition. 2020.",
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      "carries_claims": [
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        "CSC1"
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 10,
      "citation": "Li Y, Hruby A, Bernstein AM et al. Saturated Fats Compared With Unsaturated Fats and Sources of Carbohydrates in Relation to Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2015.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
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      "doi": "10.1016/j.jacc.2015.07.055",
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      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
        "C10",
        "CSC3"
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    },
    {
      "n": 11,
      "citation": "Chen M, Li Y, Sun Q et al. Dairy fat and risk of cardiovascular disease in 3 cohorts of US adults. The American journal of clinical nutrition. 2016.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "27557656",
      "doi": "10.3945/ajcn.116.134460",
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      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
        "C11",
        "CSC3"
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 12,
      "citation": "Vissers LET, Rijksen J, Boer JMA et al. Fatty acids from dairy and meat and their association with risk of coronary heart disease. European journal of nutrition. 2019.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "30167851",
      "doi": "10.1007/s00394-018-1811-1",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30167851/",
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      "study_id": "PMID30167851",
      "access_depth": "abstract_metadata",
      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
        "C12",
        "CSC3"
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 13,
      "citation": "Arnesen EK, Laake I, Veierød MB et al. Saturated fatty acids and total and CVD mortality in Norway: a prospective cohort study with up to 45 years of follow-up. The British journal of nutrition. 2024.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "39279644",
      "doi": "10.1017/S0007114524001351",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39279644/",
      "status_flags": [
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      "opened_on": "2026-10-12",
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      "study_id": "PMID39279644",
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      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
        "C13",
        "CSC3"
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    },
    {
      "n": 14,
      "citation": "Richardson TG, Sanderson E, Palmer TM et al. Evaluating the relationship between circulating lipoprotein lipids and apolipoproteins with risk of coronary heart disease: A multivariable Mendelian randomisation analysis. PLoS medicine. 2020.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "32203549",
      "doi": "10.1371/journal.pmed.1003062",
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      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. Selected body sections: 2:Results:paragraph7. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
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    },
    {
      "n": 15,
      "citation": "Zuber V, Gill D, Ala-Korpela M et al. High-throughput multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis prioritizes apolipoprotein B as key lipid risk factor for coronary artery disease. International journal of epidemiology. 2021.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "33130851",
      "doi": "10.1093/ije/dyaa216",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33130851/",
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      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
        "C15",
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    },
    {
      "n": 16,
      "citation": "Ference BA, Kastelein JJP, Ray KK et al. Association of Triglyceride-Lowering LPL Variants and LDL-C-Lowering LDLR Variants With Risk of Coronary Heart Disease. JAMA. 2019.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "30694319",
      "doi": "10.1001/jama.2018.20045",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30694319/",
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      "access_note": "Bounded original primary abstract Results/Findings/conclusion passages and linked-status metadata examined; no complete-abstract audit asserted. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed.",
      "carries_claims": [
        "C16",
        "CSC2",
        "CH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "n": 17,
      "citation": "Yang G, Mason AM, Wood AM et al. Dose-Response Associations of Lipid Traits With Coronary Artery Disease and Mortality. JAMA network open. 2024.",
      "tier": "A",
      "kind": "primary",
      "pmid": "38241044",
      "doi": "10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.52572",
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      "carries_claims": [
        "C17",
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    },
    {
      "n": 18,
      "citation": "Björnson E, Adiels M, Bergström G et al. The relationship between genetic liver fat and coronary heart disease is explained by apoB-containing lipoproteins. Atherosclerosis. 2024.",
      "tier": "A",
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      "doi": "10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2023.117397",
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      "carries_claims": [
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    },
    {
      "n": 19,
      "citation": "Björnson E, Adiels M, Taskinen MR et al. Lipoprotein(a) Is Markedly More Atherogenic Than LDL: An Apolipoprotein B-Based Genetic Analysis. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2024.",
      "tier": "A",
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      "citation": "Khaw KT, Sharp SJ, Finikarides L et al. Randomised trial of coconut oil, olive oil or butter on blood lipids and other cardiovascular risk factors in healthy men and women. BMJ open. 2018.",
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      "doi": "10.2337/diacare.17.4.311",
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    },
    {
      "n": 49,
      "citation": "Estruch R, Ros E, Salas-Salvadó J et al. Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease with a Mediterranean Diet Supplemented with Extra-Virgin Olive Oil or Nuts. The New England journal of medicine. 2018.",
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    {
      "n": 50,
      "citation": "Ramsden CE, Zamora D, Majchrzak-Hong S et al. Re-evaluation of the traditional diet-heart hypothesis: analysis of recovered data from Minnesota Coronary Experiment (1968-73). BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2016.",
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      "pmid": "27071971",
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      "citation": "Vafeiadou K, Weech M, Altowaijri H et al. Replacement of saturated with unsaturated fats had no impact on vascular function but beneficial effects on lipid biomarkers, E-selectin, and blood pressure: results from the randomized, controlled Dietary Intervention and VAScular function (DIVAS) study. The American journal of clinical nutrition. 2015.",
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      "carries_claims": [
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    },
    {
      "n": 52,
      "citation": "Koutsos A, Griffin BA, Antoni R et al. Variation of LDL cholesterol in response to the replacement of saturated with unsaturated fatty acids: a nonrandomized, sequential dietary intervention; the Reading, Imperial, Surrey, Saturated fat Cholesterol Intervention (\"RISSCI\"-1) study. The American journal of clinical nutrition. 2024.",
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      "n": 53,
      "citation": "Fielding BA, Koutsos A, Antoni R et al. Impact of saturated fat absorption on serum low density lipoprotein-cholesterol response to the replacement of saturated with unsaturated fats in healthy males. The 'Reading, Imperial, Surrey, Saturated fat Cholesterol Intervention-2 (RISSCI-2)' non-randomised sequential dietary intervention study. Atherosclerosis. 2026.",
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        "sources": [
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}
