Full assessment
From here the review is written for a technical reader: caps and thresholds, competing models, the independence basis, and the citation ledger.
Sources: 63 primary reports; claims: 70; verified: 70; unverified: 0. Verification is bounded attribution. Access: 8 partial-body and 55 complete abstract/status examinations. Literature cutoff: 2026-10-08; source examination UTC date: 2026-10-09. No complete-paper audit or blinded calibration claimed.
Adversarial review: Generated by Sol 6.1; adversarially reviewed by Claude Opus 5.5 (Anthropic) on 2026-10-14. 7 corrections applied (see ADVERSARIAL REVIEW AND APPROVAL). Status: Approved as revised.
AT A GLANCE
Immune selection is causal in defined cancers; an obligatory elimination–equilibrium–escape sequence across every developing human tumor is unsupported.
| Level | Confidence | Causal role | Momentum | Stability | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Β — Associational | Moderate | reinforcing / stabilizing factor | Mechanistic only | Stable | Contested |
Deciding experiment: Prospectively barcode autochthonous clones across predefined high/low-antigen etiologies; serially trace immune contact, viable occult persistence and outgrowth with delayed antigen-specific interruption and physiological restoration; pair with untreated human surveillance.
Belief versus evidence: SC6 gates the registered universal scope and remains Β. Human phase histories are chiefly inferred from sampled lesions/genomes without an all-etiology causal inception dataset. This does not cap scoped immune elimination or presentation escape, which reach Ζ through matching genetic and functional contrasts. Low-antigen KPC, innate-only editing and early evasion delimit the universal inference.
Best-supported rival: Etiology-stratified immune editing. KPC sustained prediagnostic T-cell depletion with repeated verification and an engineered OVA positive control separates universal necessity from baseline-antigen-dependent editing (PMID27642636).
COMPETING MECHANISTIC MODELS
Rank 1: Etiology-stratified immune editing (Ζ). Baseline antigenicity, lineage and immunity determine editing routes. MCA/antigen causal contrasts, KPC and human cSCC/NSCLC (PMID22318521,27642636,42276071). Earliest human transition frequencies remain unresolved; scope cannot be chosen after outcomes.
Rank 2: Antigen-presentation attrition (Ζ). Mutations can persist while HLA/B2M presentation or recognition fails. Autologous recognition, model MHC selection and organoid assays (PMID22318517,25294904,40614739). Different defects/shared cohorts do not verify every HLA event.
Rank 3: Immunological ignorance (Ε). Expressed antigens need not recruit effective specific recognition. Retained melanoma epitopes without reactive clones, vaccine-broadened responses and KPC positive control (PMID31685621,27642636). Sampling may miss reactive clones; no detected response is not no historical pressure.
Rank 4: Innate/myeloid pre-emption (Ε). Lineage and early suppressive niches permit outgrowth before effective adaptive engagement. Innate-only editing and IL1/SOX2 precancer intervention (PMID22927549,42446924). No prior brief equilibrium is not traced across all systems.
Rank 5: Universal obligatory three phases (Β). All developing human tumors require sequential adaptive elimination, equilibrium and escape. Classical mouse phases are a serious steelman (PMID11323675,18026089,22318517). No causal human all-phase dataset; low-antigen and early-escape contrasts constrain extrapolation.
The tournament does not alter the nominal level. Compatible pathways and flexible alternatives are not automatically proved by explaining observations.
FULL REVIEW
Registered claim and scope
The immune system actively sculpts tumors, driving all developing tumors through an obligate sequence of elimination, equilibrium and escape while selecting immune-resistant variants.
Use the index universal-sequence form; SC6 gates that scope. Elimination, equilibrium and different escape substrates are scored separately, including immunogenic versus low-burden etiologies. HLA loss is not evidence of point-mutational neoantigen depletion.
Selection: public-interest rank 37 from the editorial ranking compiled 2026-09-23; categorical prior verdicts were visible. Private fresh review; earlier documents are preserved.
Evidence and causal interpretation
The review separates experimentally identified immune functions from the registered claim that every developing human tumor must traverse three phases. The 63-report corpus includes primary negative immune interventions, computational null tests and recent positive human selection studies. Evidence count does not mean 63 independent causal confirmations.
Lymphocyte/IFNgamma loss alters tumor emergence (PMID11323675), and DC-restricted type-I-IFN sensitivity is required for cross-priming/rejection (PMID21930769). Perforin, NKT and TRAIL work extends the effector picture. Protection differs among lymphomas: v-Abl/bcl2 respond to perforin loss while aggressive Myc does not (PMID19196996). Mammary onset/count changes can reflect NK rather than CD8 effects without survival benefit (PMID17545627). Defined immune surveillance is real, but the effectors and phenotypes are not interchangeable.
Koebel reports prolonged restraint of occult transformed cells and later spontaneous edited escape in chemical carcinogenesis (PMID18026089). Its abstract explicitly permits independent or sequential phases. The body was unavailable, so exact intervention-release frequencies are not claimed as checked. Adoptive CTL-induced IFNgamma cytostasis (PMID25127875) is a different therapeutic state rather than independent universal spontaneous equilibrium.
Matsushita identifies endogenous mutant spectrin-beta2 in hypermutated Rag2-derived sarcomas, restores rejection with mutant but not WT antigen, and tracks selection of pre-existing antigen-negative clones (PMID22318521). Transplantation and the carcinogen context delimit that causal result. DuPage uses autochthonous KRAS/p53 tumors but introduces model epitopes; tolerance, depletion and antigen/MHC loss identify selection within that system (PMID22318517). Neither establishes phase order across all human etiologies.
KPC supplies a direct boundary test (PMID27642636). Juvenile sustained T-cell depletion is repeatedly verified, yet spontaneous tumor timing and survival remain statistically unchanged; depleted-donor tumors also grow in competent recipients. OVA introduction restores CD8-dependent rejection and mixed-population antigen-negative selection, including in the pancreatic microenvironment. This positive control argues against intrinsic immune incapacity, while the result remains a low-predicted-antigen mouse context rather than all human pancreatic disease.
Untreated human mutation-depletion evidence is disputed. Selection-free mutations matched for trinucleotide context reproduce apparent depletion, and finer correction diminishes signals (PMID31768072). The null challenges an uncorrected metric, not all selection routes. Wu reports distribution-based phase scores (PMID35486454), whereas the 2025 original comparison finds large classification differences dependent on references and neoantigen criteria (PMID40132544). Quantitative model/data fits (PMID32929288) constrain hypotheses but cannot alone identify causal phases.
The 2026 treatment-naive cSCC study is a substantive positive human test (PMID42276071). High-infiltrate intact-host tumors restrict strong-binding and immunogenic-like antigens toward lower clonal frequencies with purity/growth controls. Predictions use retained HLA alleles, and HLA loss does not differ among strata. Host immunosuppression is observational and age differs between groups, so the inference is a defined cohort result rather than every tumor or verified elimination of each predicted peptide. It does not establish equilibrium or erase the pan-cancer null.
Presenter attrition is distinct from antigen mutation loss. HLA LOH occurs in 36/90 untreated NSCLCs, often subclonally, with more predicted neoantigens binding lost alleles (PMID29107330); the coding mutation may remain. Rosenthal separately identifies copy-number loss, expression depletion and promoter methylation (PMID30894752). Methylation supports a selection hypothesis without functional demethylation/recognition rescue. HLA transcriptomic and organoid–TIL work refines heterogeneity (PMID39358601,40614739), while shared TRACERx samples do not provide independent population replications.
Epigenetic immune mechanisms must be named precisely. DuPage Aza restores reporter antigen expression (PMID22318517). SETDB1 loss induces TE peptides and therapy sensitivity requiring MHC-I/CD8, but little untreated growth effect in the examined models (PMID33953401). Developmental PRC2 can pre-silence antigen processing (PMID31564637), while NSD1 loss shows retroelement expression can coexist with immune exclusion (PMID36206767). These findings do not prove selective rescue of every silenced natural mutant antigen.
Alternatives include expressed melanoma epitopes without detected reactive TCR clones (PMID31685621), innate editing in adaptive-deficient hosts (PMID22927549) and low NK ligands in SCLC (PMID33495232). Early CRC multiomics infers escape near transformation (PMID41193656); 2026 oral precancer work causally tests IL1-driven myeloid suppression (PMID42446924). Checkpoint-acquired JAK/B2M resistance informs therapy escape (PMID27433843,29070816), not untreated initiation. The tournament favors etiology-defined selection with multiple escape substrates; the universal obligate sequence stays Β.
HYPOTHESIS STATE EVALUATION FRAMEWORK (HSEF v5.3)
Subclaim matrix and aggregation
| Subclaim | Scope | Level | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC1 Adaptive immunity eliminates nascent transformed cells in vivo. | defined host immune genotype and cancer etiology | Ζ | Lymphocyte/IFNgamma loss, DC-specific IFNAR1 deletion, antigen tolerance and effector transfer change tumor emergence/rejection (PMID11323675,21930769,22318517,12093876). Orthogonal contrasts support Ζ in specified etiologies. Perforin-insensitive Myc lymphoma and KPC outgrowth prevent universal Η. |
| SC2 Adaptive immunity maintains occult transformed cells in equilibrium. | defined occult-tumor model and follow-up | Δ | Koebel reports transformed occult cells under prolonged immune restraint and later edited spontaneous escape in chemical carcinogenesis (PMID18026089), supporting Δ within that model. Only its complete primary abstract was accessible; exact body/supplement intervention frequencies remain unverified. Therapeutic CTL-induced arrest (PMID25127875) is not independent spontaneous equilibrium. |
| SC3 Untreated tumor escape occurs through point-mutational neoantigen depletion under selection. | untreated tumors and baseline antigen repertoire | Ε | Matsushita tracks selection of pre-existing mutant-spectrin-negative clones and restores antigen-dependent rejection (PMID22318521). Treatment-naive 2026 cSCC adds clonal restriction with purity/growth and HLA controls (PMID42276071). Context-matched nulls undermine uncorrected pan-cancer depletion (PMID31768072). This supports Ε in mapped antigen/clonal contexts, not all untreated tumors. |
| SC4 Immune selection causes loss of antigen-presentation capacity including HLA LOH. | immune genotype, tumor etiology and genomic state | Ζ | Autochthonous model-antigen/MHC contrasts, serial human autologous recognition/B2M loss, clonal organoid–TIL assays and allele-specific HLA evolution converge (PMID22318517,25294904,40614739,29107330). Defined presentation escape reaches Ζ. Not every HLA event is functionally restored or isolated from passenger CIN. |
| SC5 Reversible epigenetic neoantigen silencing mediates immune escape. | locus, clone and methylation state | Γ | Aza restores DuPage reporter antigen expression; Rosenthal methylation associates with non-expression (PMID22318517,30894752). A naturally silenced mutant human locus with presentation/recognition rescue is not established by the examined passages. SETDB1 TE-antigen/MHC/CD8 epistasis under therapy is a distinct broader mechanism (PMID33953401). Exact SC5 stays Γ. |
| SC6 Every developing human tumor follows the obligate three-phase sequence. | human cancer etiologies/stages determined before outcomes | Β | No all-etiology human inception study identifies the obligatory sequence. Sustained validated juvenile T-cell depletion leaves KPC onset/survival intact, with OVA positive control (PMID27642636); early CRC escape and innate editing delimit phase generalization (PMID41193656,22927549). Human universal sequence inference remains Β. |
Preregistered aggregation: scope-matched. SC6 gates the registered universal scope and remains Β. Human phase histories are chiefly inferred from sampled lesions/genomes without an all-etiology causal inception dataset. This does not cap scoped immune elimination or presentation escape, which reach Ζ through matching genetic and functional contrasts. Low-antigen KPC, innate-only editing and early evasion delimit the universal inference. Sensitivities: weakest-link Β; primary-subclaim Β; scope-matched Β.
Decisive-perturbation inventory and causal tally
[2] Both antigen-specific CD4 and CD8 responses contribute to rejection with local class-II antigen requirements. Does not show: scoped antigens and models; not all human tumors.
[6] Lymphocytes and IFNgamma suppress tumors and select less immunogenic variants. Does not show: broad immune deficiency and specific etiologies; every tumor sequence not established.
[30] Abstract reports prolonged immune-controlled occult transformed cells and edited spontaneous escape. Does not show: full body unavailable in this examination; no animal-level depletion/spontaneous-frequency audit; phases can act independently.
[31] Mutant spectrin-beta2 recognition, antigen restoration and mixed-clone tracking establish T-cell-dependent selection. Does not show: transplanted hypermutated mouse clones; not every untreated human tumor.
[32] DC type-I IFN response is required for cross-priming and tumor rejection; NK/myeloid contrasts exclude broad effector attribution. Does not show: highly immunogenic challenge models; no universal initiation phases.
[33] Immune/tolerance contrasts and antigen or presentation loss establish selection; Aza restores reporter antigen expression. Does not show: engineered antigens and RNA/reporter restoration; no universal endogenous neoantigen rescue across human tumors.
[57] Physiological NKT transfer protection requires CD1d, downstream NK/CD8, IFNgamma and perforin. Does not show: specific carcinogen challenge and pathway; NKT is not proof of general conventional-T sequence.
Tally: 7 discriminating contrasts. Null and negative contrasts are discriminators, not positive threshold crossings. Reports and replications are not independent causal lines. Shared cohorts/platforms and multiple outcomes do not constitute independent causal lines.
Cap audit, precedence and Β/Γ/Δ boundary
Ζ for scoped elimination/presentation reflects matching convergent endogenous/functional classes; transplantation caps do not erase them. Those same sources cannot upgrade all-human phase order or the distinct mutant-locus reversible-rescue endpoint. Negative contrasts never enter positive-causality tallies.
Gamma hard-rule audit: Engineered antigen/TCR challenge demonstrates scoped capacity, not naturally obligatory phases. Transplantation and checkpoint-acquired resistance differ from untreated autochthonous initiation. HLA LOH removes a presenter rather than the antigen-bearing coding mutation. Methylation association and reporter re-expression require a separate immune-recognition rescue. Broad immune defects require antigen-specific and cell-restricted controls.
SC5 cap: “Mechanistically plausible cell culture or transplantation-linked models without endogenous in vivo dependency cap at Γ.” Aza restores DuPage reporter antigen expression; Rosenthal methylation associates with non-expression (PMID22318517,30894752). A naturally silenced mutant human locus with presentation/recognition rescue is not established by the examined passages. SETDB1 TE-antigen/MHC/CD8 epistasis under therapy is a distinct broader mechanism (PMID33953401). Exact SC5 stays Γ.
SC6 cap: “Association-only cancer claims cap at Β.” No all-etiology human inception study identifies the obligatory sequence. Sustained validated juvenile T-cell depletion leaves KPC onset/survival intact, with OVA positive control (PMID27642636); early CRC escape and innate editing delimit phase generalization (PMID41193656,22927549). Human universal sequence inference remains Β.
SC1 field-valid definition: “ - Endogenous genetic manipulation in autochthonous models - Patient-derived system perturbation with matched rescue AND in vivo confirmation - Clonal tracking demonstrating persistence of dependency through selection pressure” Positive full-scope result: yes. Lymphocyte/IFNgamma loss, DC-specific IFNAR1 deletion, antigen tolerance and effector transfer change tumor emergence/rejection (PMID11323675,21930769,22318517,12093876). Orthogonal contrasts support Ζ in specified etiologies. Perforin-insensitive Myc lymphoma and KPC outgrowth prevent universal Η.
SC2 field-valid definition: “ - Endogenous genetic manipulation in autochthonous models - Patient-derived system perturbation with matched rescue AND in vivo confirmation - Clonal tracking demonstrating persistence of dependency through selection pressure” Positive full-scope result: yes. Koebel reports transformed occult cells under prolonged immune restraint and later edited spontaneous escape in chemical carcinogenesis (PMID18026089), supporting Δ within that model. Only its complete primary abstract was accessible; exact body/supplement intervention frequencies remain unverified. Therapeutic CTL-induced arrest (PMID25127875) is not independent spontaneous equilibrium.
SC3 field-valid definition: “ - Endogenous genetic manipulation in autochthonous models - Patient-derived system perturbation with matched rescue AND in vivo confirmation - Clonal tracking demonstrating persistence of dependency through selection pressure” Positive full-scope result: yes. Matsushita tracks selection of pre-existing mutant-spectrin-negative clones and restores antigen-dependent rejection (PMID22318521). Treatment-naive 2026 cSCC adds clonal restriction with purity/growth and HLA controls (PMID42276071). Context-matched nulls undermine uncorrected pan-cancer depletion (PMID31768072). This supports Ε in mapped antigen/clonal contexts, not all untreated tumors.
SC4 field-valid definition: “ - Endogenous genetic manipulation in autochthonous models - Patient-derived system perturbation with matched rescue AND in vivo confirmation - Clonal tracking demonstrating persistence of dependency through selection pressure” Positive full-scope result: yes. Autochthonous model-antigen/MHC contrasts, serial human autologous recognition/B2M loss, clonal organoid–TIL assays and allele-specific HLA evolution converge (PMID22318517,25294904,40614739,29107330). Defined presentation escape reaches Ζ. Not every HLA event is functionally restored or isolated from passenger CIN.
SC5 field-valid definition: “ - Endogenous genetic manipulation in autochthonous models - Patient-derived system perturbation with matched rescue AND in vivo confirmation - Clonal tracking demonstrating persistence of dependency through selection pressure” Positive full-scope result: no. Aza restores DuPage reporter antigen expression; Rosenthal methylation associates with non-expression (PMID22318517,30894752). A naturally silenced mutant human locus with presentation/recognition rescue is not established by the examined passages. SETDB1 TE-antigen/MHC/CD8 epistasis under therapy is a distinct broader mechanism (PMID33953401). Exact SC5 stays Γ.
SC6 field-valid definition: “ - Endogenous genetic manipulation in autochthonous models - Patient-derived system perturbation with matched rescue AND in vivo confirmation - Clonal tracking demonstrating persistence of dependency through selection pressure” Positive full-scope result: no. No all-etiology human inception study identifies the obligatory sequence. Sustained validated juvenile T-cell depletion leaves KPC onset/survival intact, with OVA positive control (PMID27642636); early CRC escape and innate editing delimit phase generalization (PMID41193656,22927549). Human universal sequence inference remains Β.
Upward threshold ladder
SC1 Δ: “Requires at least one meaningful causal perturbation showing the proposed mechanism contributes to initiation, maintenance, or relapse.” Satisfied: yes.
SC1 Ε: “Requires context-specific causal validity with explicit limits. Cancer stem cells often belong here when a stem-like hierarchy exists in some tumor contexts but fails as a universal model.” Satisfied: yes.
SC1 Ζ: “Requires: - Independent causal confirmation across models - Reduced viability of major alternatives - Relevance beyond one assay class” Satisfied: yes.
SC1 Η: “Requires: - Strong endogenous evidence - Therapeutic or mechanistic consequence - Reproducibility across disease settings within the claimed scope” Satisfied: no. Prospectively replicate immune-specific loss/restoration across fixed etiologies without changing carcinogenesis or viability.
SC2 Δ: “Requires at least one meaningful causal perturbation showing the proposed mechanism contributes to initiation, maintenance, or relapse.” Satisfied: yes.
SC2 Ε: “Requires context-specific causal validity with explicit limits. Cancer stem cells often belong here when a stem-like hierarchy exists in some tumor contexts but fails as a universal model.” Satisfied: no. Independent lineage-confirmed occult persistence with delayed immune interruption/restoration; finish original methods/supplements.
SC3 Δ: “Requires at least one meaningful causal perturbation showing the proposed mechanism contributes to initiation, maintenance, or relapse.” Satisfied: yes.
SC3 Ε: “Requires context-specific causal validity with explicit limits. Cancer stem cells often belong here when a stem-like hierarchy exists in some tumor contexts but fails as a universal model.” Satisfied: yes.
SC3 Ζ: “Requires: - Independent causal confirmation across models - Reduced viability of major alternatives - Relevance beyond one assay class” Satisfied: no. Validate presented mutant epitopes and TCR recognition, use powered sequence-context nulls, and trace antigen-clone loss separately from presenter attrition.
SC4 Δ: “Requires at least one meaningful causal perturbation showing the proposed mechanism contributes to initiation, maintenance, or relapse.” Satisfied: yes.
SC4 Ε: “Requires context-specific causal validity with explicit limits. Cancer stem cells often belong here when a stem-like hierarchy exists in some tumor contexts but fails as a universal model.” Satisfied: yes.
SC4 Ζ: “Requires: - Independent causal confirmation across models - Reduced viability of major alternatives - Relevance beyond one assay class” Satisfied: yes.
SC4 Η: “Requires: - Strong endogenous evidence - Therapeutic or mechanistic consequence - Reproducibility across disease settings within the claimed scope” Satisfied: no. Physiologically restore lost HLA alleles in matched clones; test autologous killing and tumor control with CIN passenger controls.
SC5 Δ: “Requires at least one meaningful causal perturbation showing the proposed mechanism contributes to initiation, maintenance, or relapse.” Satisfied: no. Selectively reverse endogenous mutant-antigen silencing, recover peptide presentation and recognition, then restore silence to reverse control.
SC6 Δ: “Requires at least one meaningful causal perturbation showing the proposed mechanism contributes to initiation, maintenance, or relapse.” Satisfied: no. Prospective untreated inception cohorts across predefined etiologies must trace all causal phase transitions and count bypasses.
Upper ladder: Immune genetics, antigen tolerance/rescue, cell-restricted pathways, functional patient assays and host immunosuppression are live upper-ladder routes without RCT-only requirements. They strengthen narrow claims while universal phase order and endogenous mutant-locus rescue retain separate missing endpoints.
Independence: Convergence spans immune genetics, DC-specific cross-priming, autochthonous antigen/tolerance and human functional recognition, addressing different errors. TRACERx and TCGA are repeatedly shared; independent cSCC is observational. No report count creates universal phase order.
Primary immune-genetic tumor contrasts [6, 57]: Incidence and transfer contrasts exclude mere infiltration association; shared carcinogen pathways remain one family.
Cell-restricted cross-priming [32]: DC IFNAR1/chimeras narrow systemic immune-deficiency alternatives.
Autochthonous antigen/tolerance [33]: Induction, depletion and tolerance isolate recognition; engineered epitopes bound scope.
Patient-derived functional recognition [50, 17]: Autologous and organoid assays go beyond genomic association; culture selection and small samples remain.
Mutant antigen restoration/clonal tracking [31]: WT/mutant rescue and mixtures isolate selection in one carcinogen clone family.
Falsification and pitfalls
Perturbing the proposed feature leaves the claimed output intact. KPC verified sustained T-cell depletion leaves onset/survival intact with OVA positive control (PMID27642636). Scoped contradiction of universal adaptive necessity. Additional downgrade: False.
Phase labels reified. Scores/morphological stages do not observe the same clone traversing all phases.
Presenter loss equals antigen loss. HLA/B2M and coding mutation depletion have different substrates.
Treatment generalized to untreated initiation. Checkpoint-acquired JAK/B2M escape stays treatment-scoped.
Shared cohorts treated as independence. TRACERx/TCGA repeatedly reuse data.
Provider substitution/date accepted. Consensus Borden date error and Wu preprint were corrected with journal records.
Adversarial steelman: above, then below
One rung higher, Γ: classical mouse phases, engineered autochthonous antigens and human lesion/genomic trajectories make the expansive sequence mechanistically conceivable.
One rung lower, Α: the whole account is a narrative without meaningful evidence. That misses experimentally demonstrated selected-phase causality.
Reject Α because real antigen-dependent selection and occult restraint exist. Reject Γ for the exact every-human obligatory gate because model-specific plausibility does not identify that scope and faces endogenous counterexamples. Keep Ζ for matching narrow functions.
Final score, causal direction and M/S/D
SC6 gates the registered universal scope and remains Β. Human phase histories are chiefly inferred from sampled lesions/genomes without an all-etiology causal inception dataset. This does not cap scoped immune elimination or presentation escape, which reach Ζ through matching genetic and functional contrasts. Low-antigen KPC, innate-only editing and early evasion delimit the universal inference.
Immune pressure can restrain and sculpt already transformed variants; upstream oncogenic and baseline antigen/lineage context remains. All-human initiation necessity plus sufficiency is not shown, so steps 3/4 do not license universal primary-driver status. This role applies to supported scoped selection.
Momentum: Mechanistic only. The named artifacts are completed mechanistic and boundary studies, not experiments now in progress: 2025 timed-antigen and CRC epigenomic work plus the 2026 treatment-naive cSCC and IL1 precancer studies. No experiment addressing the SC6 boundary check — a prospective untreated all-etiology inception cohort tracing phase transitions — was identified as underway, and no unnamed pending trial is claimed.
Stability: Stable. No named pending result is asserted to move the grade imminently.
Divergence: Contested; no single implied-level arithmetic. These dimensions do not change level or confidence.
PROPOSED DECISIVE EXPERIMENTS
Prospectively barcode autochthonous clones across predefined high/low-antigen etiologies; serially trace immune contact, viable occult persistence and outgrowth with delayed antigen-specific interruption and physiological restoration; pair with untreated human surveillance.
Readout: Clone survival, occult proliferation balance, antigen/presenter substrate, autologous recognition and tumor outcomes. Controls: Antigen-negative lineages, tolerant/depleted/intact hosts, restoration, CIN-matched HLA passengers, mutation-signature nulls and blinded phase labels. Supporting: Every predefined developing clone traverses causally verified sequential phases with matching interruption/restoration effects. Falsifying: Tracked clones bypass the required adaptive phase or inherit early escape without preceding causal equilibrium.
RESEARCH TIMELINE
| Year | Milestone | Primary source | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | Helper antigens retained | PMID2945891 | Antigen classes differ in selection. |
| 1999 | Draining-node antigen presentation | PMID10229818 | Presentation need not mean effective CTL elimination. |
| 2000 | Perforin and spontaneous lymphoma | PMID10974040 | Scoped genetic surveillance. |
| 2001 | IFNgamma/lymphocyte tumor suppression | PMID11323675 | Primary protection and selection. |
| 2002 | NKT effector transfer | PMID12093876 | Defined physiological effector pathway. |
| 2007 | Occult equilibrium | PMID18026089 | Mouse state; independent or sequential phases. |
| 2007 | Mammary perforin/NK scope | PMID17545627 | Onset/count differs from survival. |
| 2009 | Lymphoma genotype boundary | PMID19196996 | Myc does not inherit perforin sensitivity. |
| 2011 | DC-specific IFN requirement | PMID21930769 | Cross-priming specificity. |
| 2012 | Mutant antigen clonal selection | PMID22318521 | WT/mutant rescue in transplant model. |
| 2012 | Autochthonous antigen/tolerance | PMID22318517 | Engineered antigen/presenter selection. |
| 2012 | Innate-only editing | PMID22927549 | Adaptive immunity is not the sole route. |
| 2014 | Human recognition attrition | PMID25294904 | Serial functional B2M-associated loss. |
| 2015 | Metabolic immune suppression | PMID26321679 | Escape need not erase antigen. |
| 2016 | KPC counterexample | PMID27642636 | Verified depletion with OVA positive control. |
| 2016 | Checkpoint-acquired resistance | PMID27433843 | Treatment scope. |
| 2017 | Allele-specific HLA loss | PMID29107330 | Presenter loss differs from coding loss. |
| 2019 | Untreated NSCLC heterogeneity | PMID30894752 | DNA/expression/presentation routes. |
| 2019 | Mutation-context nulls | PMID31768072 | Sequence biases can mimic selection. |
| 2019 | Melanoma antigen ignorance | PMID31685621 | Expression and recognition differ. |
| 2021 | SETDB1 TE antigens | PMID33953401 | MHC/CD8 epistasis under therapy. |
| 2022 | Pancreatic survivor evolution | PMID35589842 | Scoped quality-based inference. |
| 2024 | HLA transcriptomic disruption | PMID39358601 | Shared-cohort extension. |
| 2025 | Method comparison | PMID40132544 | Large classification variation. |
| 2025 | Early CRC epigenomic escape | PMID41193656 | Big-Bang timing inference. |
| 2025 | Timed sarcoma antigen test | PMID41043437 | Bystander elimination and silencing insufficiency. |
| 2026 | Treatment-naive cSCC | PMID42276071 | Positive clonal-frequency test with controls. |
| 2026 | IL1 precancer intervention | PMID42446924 | Early suppressive myeloid mechanism. |
KNOWLEDGE GAPS
Trace phases within the same untreated clone.
Prespecify antigen/etiology scope and count bypasses.
Replicate and fully audit occult-equilibrium experiments.
Validate presented epitopes and TCR recognition beyond predictions.
Control sequence context, purity, growth and detection power.
Restore HLA with matched CIN passenger controls.
Reverse endogenous mutant-antigen methylation with functional recognition rescue.
Track early myeloid pre-emption versus brief equilibrium.
Separate innate ligand editing and retained helper antigens.
Audit errata, inaccessible bodies and supplements before complete-paper publication claims.
METHODS AND CONSENSUS CONTRIBUTION
Consensus was used through the signed-in browser for discovery, counterevidence, research-gap and timeline suggestions, and attempted checks of specific indexed full-text passages. Provider statements about Methods/Results and any returned passages were compared with original-paper passages where available; failed retrievals, source substitutions and unverified aspects are recorded in the case reconciliation. Successful original-passage comparisons are distinguished from provider summaries and assertions of access. Provider screening counts, citation counts and meters were not used as primary counts or HSEF scores. This source log records access depth; it does not claim complete-paper or supplement review. The monthly API allowance was conserved: zero Consensus API calls in this batch.
REVIEWER NOTES
63 primary reports; eight selected original partial-body examinations and 55 complete abstract/status examinations. Original computational comparisons are primary analyses, not interventions. Koebel body unavailable; IFN erratum lacks resolved PMID; organoid correction details remain unaudited. No independent blinded or complete-paper review.
Search leads, reviews, protocols and correction notices do not pad the primary count. Downloaded XML does not earn examination credit. Linked notices remain attached; unexamined correction details limit inference. This is a coordinator source/claim consistency assessment, not independent blinded calibration.
ADVERSARIAL REVIEW AND APPROVAL
Authoring model: Sol 6.1. Adversarial reviewer: Claude Opus 5.5 (Anthropic). Date: 2026-10-14. Edition reviewed: the 9 October 2026 revised edition, as it now stands.
Scope of checks. All 63 REFERENCES PMIDs plus the two that appear only in the body (36993286, 42155448) were resolved against PubMed and matched on first author, title, journal, year and DOI: 65/65 resolved, no wrong identifiers, no retracted publication and no expression of concern. Nine load-bearing claims were spot-checked against the source abstracts and, for PMID 29107330, against the retrieved full text held in the originating package: PMIDs 27642636, 18026089, 29107330, 42276071, 31768072, 19196996, 17545627, 22927549 and 41193656. Scoring logic was re-derived from references/hsef-framework.md, SKILL.md Steps 2-3 and 8, references/evidence-rubrics/02-cancer-biology.md and the Cancer immunoediting (three-phase model) entry in references/hypothesis-index.md. The revised edition was also diffed against the 2026-10-08 edition to separate inherited defects from revision regressions, and the renderer, provenance and confidence artifacts reported across this batch were each checked here.
Findings
| ID | Severity | Location | Original to corrected | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | Major | AT A GLANCE table; Final score, causal direction and M/S/D; score card extended_scoring_MSD.momentum |
Momentum "Decisive work underway" to "Mechanistic only", and the artifact rewritten to say that the named items are completed studies and that no experiment addressing the SC6 boundary check was identified as underway | The framework defines "Decisive work underway" as "Someone is running an experiment that could cross the next threshold" and requires the artifact to "name the work, programme, or trial type the judgement rests on". Every item the artifact named — the 2025 timed-antigen and CRC epigenomic work, the 2026 treatment-naive cSCC study, the 2026 IL1 precancer study — is a published, completed result, and the review's own Stability entry says "No named pending result is asserted to move the grade imminently". The two statements could not both stand. Momentum modifies no letter, so the headline Β is unchanged. This defect is inherited: the 2026-10-08 edition carries the same value, so it is not a regression introduced by the revision. |
| F2 | Minor | Decisive-perturbation inventory items [2], [6], [30], [31], [32], [33], [57] | Each item ran the evidence card's "Shows" text straight into its "Does not show" text with no separator and no terminal stop, e.g. "… with local class-II antigen requirements Scoped antigens and models; not all human tumors"; a sentence break and an explicit "Does not show:" lead-in were restored from the matching card, and terminal stops added | Rendering defect. The two halves are stored separately in the score card and are correctly separated in the evidence cards, so no content was reconstructed — only the join. As printed, the boundary between what a study shows and what it does not was invisible to a reader, which on this hypothesis is the whole adjudication. |
| F3 | Minor | Evidence card [51] (Access/status) and the matching score-card fields | "ErratumIn: PMIDnot supplied." to "ErratumIn: PMID not supplied in the PubMed record." | Known reference-builder rendering defect; REVIEWER NOTES already records that the IFN erratum lacks a resolved PMID, so the content was right and only the rendering was wrong. |
| F4 | Minor | REFERENCE 45 | "DOI: ." to "DOI: none in PubMed record." | PubMed confirms PMID 10229818 (J Immunol 1999) carries no DOI, so the empty field was a rendering defect rather than a lookup failure. |
| F5 | Editorial | Final score, causal direction and M/S/D | "steps3/4 do not license" to "steps 3/4 do not license" | Missing-space rendering defect. |
| F6 | Minor | Consensus provenance reconciliation block (review and consensus-addendum.md) |
"The earlier adversarial approval refers to its original edition" to "No earlier adversarial approval is attached to this case" | This one is a revision regression, not an inherited defect. The clause was spliced in by the 9 October integration and is false for this case: the 2026-10-08 edition carries no ## ADVERSARIAL REVIEW AND APPROVAL section and no adversarial banner, so there is no earlier approval for the supplement to defer to. Rescoped rather than deleted, so the disclaimer that the supplement is not a new adjudication still stands. |
| F7 | Minor | Score card final_score.confidence_rationale (3 fields) |
"63 primary reports with 8 selected partial-body examinations; density, heterogeneous controls and incomplete access set the confidence, not correctness." to a rationale resting only on evidence density and reproducibility | The framework states that confidence "reflects evidence density and reproducibility" and says nothing about the reviewer’s access depth, so "incomplete access" was not a legitimate determinant. The band itself was re-derived and stays Moderate: the registered universal-scope subclaim has no replicated human inception dataset, the human genomic evidence repeatedly reuses TRACERx and TCGA, and controls are heterogeneous across etiologies — which is the Moderate text ("multiple independent studies; some replication; some assay-level concerns or methodological heterogeneity remains"), not the High text. |
Rejected findings (checked, no change)
- The Oct-9 revision regression reported elsewhere in this batch is absent here, but a different one was found (F6). The revision spliced in one block, "Consensus provenance reconciliation — 9 October 2026", and changed nothing else; a line-by-line diff against the 2026-10-08 edition shows no other difference. The preserved
## METHODS AND CONSENSUS CONTRIBUTIONsection already states that Consensus was used through the signed-in browser with zero API calls in the batch, so the spliced block does not contradict it. There is no preserved sentence asserting that no Consensus work was performed. - No Consensus-notes contradiction. The preserved
## METHODS AND CONSENSUS CONTRIBUTIONand## REVIEWER NOTESsections contain no sentence denying Consensus use, so the splice created no self-contradiction of that kind here. - "Best-supported rival" renders the correct model. The score card marks the rank-1 model
is_nominal: falseand the nominal "Universal obligatory three phases" at rank 5; the AT A GLANCE prose names the rank-1 rival, etiology-stratified immune editing, so the renderer bug reported elsewhere did not fire here. - Other provenance clauses. The Selection line (public-interest rank 37 from the 2026-09-23 editorial ranking, prior categorical verdicts visible, earlier documents preserved) and the zero-API-call statement were each checked against the package and apply to this case.
- Headline letter Β and scope-matched aggregation. Re-derived independently and correct. The index prescribes scope-matched; the registered claim is the universal obligate sequence across all developing human tumors; SC6 is the only subclaim written at that scope and sits at Β under the rubric's "Association-only cancer claims cap at Β". The Ζ on SC1 and SC4 is scope-restricted to defined host genotypes and to presentation escape, and correctly does not carry the headline — this is the "scope trap" the index names for this entry, and the review avoids it. The reported alternatives are right too: weakest-link takes the lowest of Ζ/Δ/Ε/Ζ/Γ/Β, and primary-subclaim with SC6 named returns the same letter.
- The subclaim decomposition matches the index SC1-SC6 verbatim in substance, and all five index competing models are enumerated.
index_rule_deviationis correctly empty. - Sixth competing model not enumerated. The index adjudication notes say a chromosomal-instability-passenger model "is worth adding whenever SC4 is the live question", and SC4 is live here at Ζ. The review does not rank it as a sixth model, but it does engage the confounder directly — SC4's decision records that not every HLA event is "isolated from passenger CIN", and the decisive-experiment controls list "CIN-matched HLA passengers". The index wording is advisory rather than mandatory and the substance is addressed, so no model was added; flagged for the lead rather than changed.
- Causal tally phrasing. The tally reads "7 discriminating contrasts" and does not separately count positive qualifying study units, which the sibling reviews in this corpus do. The score card's
causal_tally_auditmatches the document exactly (7 claimed, 7 after audit), and the Ζ derivations for SC1 and SC4 rest on the independence basis and the threshold blocks rather than on this tally, so nothing is double-counted or missing. Loose relative to house practice, not an error. - PMID 42155448 and PMID 36993286. The first is the published erratum to reference 17 (PMID 40614739) and the second is the bioRxiv preprint of reference 20 (PMID 38815010). Neither is counted as a primary source: they appear only in the Access/status lines of the corresponding cards, as "ErratumIn: PMID42155448" and "UpdateOf: PMID36993286", which is where this package records linked notices.
- Seven references whose PubMed author arrays contain an empty entry mid-list (PMIDs 30894752, 29107330, 39358601, 40614739, 32461698, 38581685 and the erratum 42155448) carry the signature of a dropped consortium author — the TRACERx group in most cases — but none of them is in the first-author position, so the collective-author builder defect does not apply and every reference renders its correct first author.
- Citation years and dropped markup. Reference 7 (PMID 25127875) prints 2015 against a 2014 e-pub year; references 1 and 18 have PubMed titles that drop a superscript "+" and an italicised gene name. All three are rejected by standing convention.
- Score card
review_metadata.reviewerreads "Codex". This is house provenance across the corpus and was not edited per case; the authoring model is stated as Sol 6.1 in the banner and in this section.
Residual limitations
The Koebel equilibrium paper (PMID 18026089), which is the sole support for SC2, was examined at abstract depth only, so the intervention-release and spontaneous-escape frequencies behind SC2's Δ are unverified; the review says so, and the abstract does support the two statements it is cited for, including that the three processes "function either independently or in sequence". Four of the eight partial-body sources carry claims this pass checked for abstract-level consistency rather than re-retrieving, and the organoid correction details remain unaudited, as REVIEWER NOTES records.
Approval: Following adversarial review and the corrections listed above, the revised document is approved. — Claude Opus 5.5 (Anthropic), 2026-10-14.
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Source-specific evidence cards
[1] TIM3+ breast cancer cells license immune evasion during micrometastasis outbreak.
Shows: Tumor TIM3 perturbation links stemness, suppressive gamma-delta cells and metastatic seeding
Does not show: Metastatic context and multifunctional signaling; no obligatory inception sequence
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[2] MHC-II neoantigens shape tumour immunity and response to immunotherapy.
Shows: Both antigen-specific CD4 and CD8 responses contribute to rejection with local class-II antigen requirements
Does not show: Scoped antigens and models; not all human tumors
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC4.
[3] Neoantigen quality predicts immunoediting in survivors of pancreatic cancer.
Shows: High-quality neoantigen loss and clonal fitness model support selection in long survivors
Does not show: Survivor selection and recurrence; inference rather than experimental untreated initiation
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[4] NKG2D-NKG2D Ligand Interaction Inhibits the Outgrowth of Naturally Arising Low-Grade B Cell Lymphoma In Vivo.
Shows: NKG2D ligand recognition restrains naturally arising B-cell tumors
Does not show: Innate pathway; grade-dependent human association not universal adaptive sequence
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC6.
[5] The Genomic and Immune Landscapes of Lethal Metastatic Breast Cancer.
Shows: Multiregional HLA loss and TCR patterns accompany lethal metastatic evolution
Does not show: Heavily treated endpoint sampling; no untreated inception or phase causality
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[6] IFNgamma and lymphocytes prevent primary tumour development and shape tumour immunogenicity.
Shows: Lymphocytes and IFNgamma suppress tumors and select less immunogenic variants
Does not show: Broad immune deficiency and specific etiologies; every tumor sequence not established
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC3.
[7] Cytotoxic T lymphocytes block tumor growth both by lytic activity and IFNγ-dependent cell-cycle arrest.
Shows: IFNgamma neutralization reverses growth arrest; arrest can dominate lysis
Does not show: Adoptive therapy and differing IFNgamma sensitivity; not spontaneous occult equilibrium
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC2, SC4.
[8] Metabolic Competition in the Tumor Microenvironment Is a Driver of Cancer Progression.
Shows: Tumor glucose competition can override T-cell protection and impair effector function
Does not show: Metabolic suppression permits antigen-retaining escape; engineered pathway sufficiency
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[9] Checkpoint blockade cancer immunotherapy targets tumour-specific mutant antigens.
Shows: Mutant-antigen-specific T cells reactivate and vaccination rejects tumors
Does not show: Therapeutically augmented rejection; not untreated universal selection
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC4.
[10] A critical function for type I interferons in cancer immunoediting.
Shows: Host hematopoietic IFN responses protect against primary and transplanted tumors
Does not show: Broad pathway; linked erratum notice lacks resolved PMID/details
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. ErratumIn: PMID not supplied in the PubMed record. Subclaims: SC1.
[11] Tumour ischaemia by interferon-γ resembles physiological blood vessel regression.
Shows: Endothelial responsiveness is necessary and sufficient for induced ischemic regression
Does not show: Induced IFNgamma in established tumors; not nascent elimination or equilibrium
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC4.
[12] Neoantigen-directed immune escape in lung cancer evolution.
Shows: Immune context associates with copy-number antigen loss, HLA dysfunction and neoantigen promoter methylation
Does not show: Shared TRACERx; methylation association does not demonstrate demethylation/recognition rescue
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 1:Results:paragraph9, 1:Results:paragraph10, 1:Results:paragraph13, 1:Results:paragraph15. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC4, SC5, SC6.
[13] Negative selection in tumor genome evolution acts on essential cellular functions and the immunopeptidome.
Shows: Empirical sequence analyses suggest negative selection in immune-exposed regions
Does not show: Null mutation context, expression and prediction biases matter; no immune intervention
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3.
[14] Characterizing MHC-I Genotype Predictive Power for Oncogenic Mutation Probability in Cancer Patients.
Shows: MHC genotype presentation scores predict mutation probabilities
Does not show: Computational association; genotype and mutation processes may confound selection
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[15] Allele-Specific HLA Loss and Immune Escape in Lung Cancer Evolution.
Shows: Allele-specific HLA loss is focal, often subclonal, and linked to lost-allele-binding neoantigens
Does not show: Loss of presenter does not delete antigen mutation; cohort overlap and CIN passenger alternatives
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 1:Results:paragraph29, 1:Results:paragraph30, 1:Results:paragraph65. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[16] MHC Hammer reveals genetic and non-genetic HLA disruption in cancer evolution.
Shows: HLA repression/splicing and LOH refine effective neoantigen burden and metastasis associations
Does not show: Shared cohorts and transcriptomic disruption; not universal sequence or functional restoration
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4.
[17] Subclonal immune evasion in non-small cell lung cancer.
Shows: Functional immune evasion differs among subclones within each tumor
Does not show: Ex vivo propagation and three patients; linked 2026 correction details not audited
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. ErratumIn: PMID42155448. Subclaims: SC4.
[18] Myeloid STAT3 promotes formation of colitis-associated colorectal cancer in mice.
Shows: Myeloid deletion reduces tumor formation with stromal T-cell activation and residual escape
Does not show: Inflammatory carcinogenesis and pleiotropy; adaptive mechanism inferred partly from transplantation
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC4.
[19] Dynamic immunoediting by macrophages in homologous recombination deficiency-stratified pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
Shows: Spatial macrophage SIGLEC10/CD52 axis associates with repair context
Does not show: Spatial multiomics generates mechanism candidates; no obligatory sequence or definitive causal editing
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4.
[20] Germline-mediated immunoediting sculpts breast cancer subtypes and metastatic proclivity.
Shows: Germline epitope burden associates with amplified subtype incidence and cold aggressive tumors
Does not show: Germline selection inference; no prospective phase transitions
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. UpdateOf: PMID36993286. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[21] Immune-tumor interaction dictates spatially directed evolution of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
Shows: Spatial immune context and inferred subclone fitness vary along tumors
Does not show: Retrospective inferred editing and expression; not phase necessity
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[22] Epigenetically driven and early immune evasion in colorectal cancer evolution.
Shows: Chromatin changes, antigen silencing and exclusion are inferred near transformation with little later editing
Does not show: Timing inferred from sampled extant lesions; early escape contradicts assuming a long mandatory equilibrium
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC5, SC6.
[23] Distinct T cell functions enable efficient immunoediting and prevent tumor emergence of developing sarcomas.
Shows: Timed antigen removal and T-cell/IFNgamma interruption separate direct and bystander early elimination
Does not show: Engineered antigens; antigen-negative cells also exist without T cells; silencing alone not sufficient
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC3, SC5.
[24] Comprehensive assessment of computational methods for cancer immunoediting.
Shows: Editing estimates vary widely with method, neoantigen criteria and reference data
Does not show: Original method comparison not causal immune editing; union of estimates is not truth validation
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3.
[25] Evolutionary dynamics of neoantigens in growing tumors.
Shows: Selection/escape model predicts neoantigen-frequency patterns and matches cohort data
Does not show: Model fit can be nonidentifying; no intervention; shared public datasets
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3.
[26] Neoantigen architectures define immunogenicity and drive immune evasion of tumors with heterogenous neoantigen expression.
Shows: Antigen concurrency/clonality shapes priming competition and therapy resistance; vaccination can restore control
Does not show: Engineered antigen architectures and treatment; no mandatory human natural-history phases
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC4.
[27] Geospatial immune variability illuminates differential evolution of lung adenocarcinoma.
Shows: Immune-cold spatial regions associate with evolution and relapse
Does not show: Geometry/immune associations; shared TRACERx and no immune intervention
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[28] Lack of detectable neoantigen depletion signals in the untreated cancer genome.
Shows: Apparent depletion is reproduced by context-matched null mutations and diminishes after correction
Does not show: Weak detectable depletion does not exclude editing via presentation loss, low power or early escape
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 0:Results:paragraph4, 0:Results:paragraph13, 0:Results:paragraph14, 0:Results:paragraph17. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[29] Elevated neoantigen levels in tumors with somatic mutations in the HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-C and B2M genes.
Shows: Presentation-defective tumors carry more mutation/neoantigen burden
Does not show: Association and timing inference; no restored immune recognition or universal sequence
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC4.
[30] Adaptive immunity maintains occult cancer in an equilibrium state.
Shows: Abstract reports prolonged immune-controlled occult transformed cells and edited spontaneous escape
Does not show: Full body unavailable in this examination; no animal-level depletion/spontaneous-frequency audit; phases can act independently
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC2, SC6.
[31] Cancer exome analysis reveals a T-cell-dependent mechanism of cancer immunoediting.
Shows: Mutant spectrin-beta2 recognition, antigen restoration and mixed-clone tracking establish T-cell-dependent selection
Does not show: Transplanted hypermutated mouse clones; not every untreated human tumor
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 2:Main text:paragraph2, 2:Main text:paragraph6, 2:Main text:paragraph7, 2:Main text:paragraph8. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC3.
[32] Type I interferon is selectively required by dendritic cells for immune rejection of tumors.
Shows: DC type-I IFN response is required for cross-priming and tumor rejection; NK/myeloid contrasts exclude broad effector attribution
Does not show: Highly immunogenic challenge models; no universal initiation phases
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1.
[33] Expression of tumour-specific antigens underlies cancer immunoediting.
Shows: Immune/tolerance contrasts and antigen or presentation loss establish selection; Aza restores reporter antigen expression
Does not show: Engineered antigens and RNA/reporter restoration; no universal endogenous neoantigen rescue across human tumors
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 3:Main text:paragraph0, 3:Main text:paragraph1, 3:Main text:paragraph5, 3:Main text:paragraph7. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC3, SC4, SC5.
[34] Cancer immunoediting of the NK group 2D ligand H60a.
Shows: NK/NKG2D selects against H60a-high tumor cells even without adaptive lymphocytes
Does not show: Innate ligand selection and transplantation; not obligate adaptive three phases
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[35] Perforin-mediated suppression of B-cell lymphoma.
Shows: Perforin protects in v-Abl/bcl2 but not aggressive Myc lymphoma, defining context dependence
Does not show: Perforin spans innate/adaptive effectors; no general immune-null claim
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC6.
[36] Quantification of Neoantigen-Mediated Immunoediting in Cancer Evolution.
Shows: Reported neoantigen-negative-selection metrics distinguish elimination and escape scores
Does not show: Author labels are not observed phases; null-model dispute and gene-expression/prefiltering biases remain
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[37] Epigenetic silencing by SETDB1 suppresses tumour intrinsic immunogenicity.
Shows: SETDB1 loss derepresses TE antigens and treatment sensitivity requires MHC-I/CD8 cells
Does not show: Untreated loss has little effect in tested models; no broad untreated necessary escape mechanism
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 1:Results:paragraph3, 1:Results:paragraph18, 1:Results:paragraph22. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5.
[38] KDM5B promotes immune evasion by recruiting SETDB1 to silence retroelements.
Shows: KDM5B recruits SETDB1 independently of demethylation; retroelements activate innate sensing and rejection
Does not show: Specific melanoma machinery, pleiotropy and multiple antigen/sensing effects
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5.
[39] Epigenetic priming restores the HLA class-I antigen processing machinery expression in Merkel cell carcinoma.
Shows: HDAC inhibition and peptide provision restore HLA surface expression
Does not show: APM restoration not coding neoantigen rescue; immunodeficient xenograft does not show functional host T-cell causality
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5.
[40] Evasion of Innate Immunity Contributes to Small Cell Lung Cancer Progression and Metastasis.
Shows: Restoring NKG2D ligands suppresses growth/metastasis via NK cells
Does not show: Lineage-linked innate avoidance; high TMB does not guarantee adaptive engagement
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[41] An Evolutionarily Conserved Function of Polycomb Silences the MHC Class I Antigen Presentation Pathway and Enables Immune Evasion in Cancer.
Shows: Conserved developmental PRC2 program silences antigen-presentation pathway and supports immune escape
Does not show: Physiological lineage inheritance can precede selection; presentation silencing not necessarily antigen mutation loss
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5, SC6.
[42] Epigenetic changes in tumor Fas levels determine immune escape and response to therapy.
Shows: Fas rescue and host NK dependence restore tumor control/chemosensitivity
Does not show: Fas susceptibility rather than neoantigen loss; scope-specific broad HDAC effects
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5.
[43] Histone methylation antagonism drives tumor immune evasion in squamous cell carcinomas.
Shows: EZH2 inhibition restores immune infiltration and impairs mutant tumor growth despite retroelement expression
Does not show: Viral mimicry is not always immunity; chromatin cross-talk context-dependent
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5.
[44] Whole-genome doubling drives immune evasion by silencing antigen presentation.
Shows: WGD alters metabolism/chromatin and MHC regulation; PRC2 inhibition restores presentation and CD8 infiltration
Does not show: Engineered WGD and many changes; no inference of obligatory prior equilibrium
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC5, SC6.
[45] Tumor antigens are constitutively presented in the draining lymph nodes.
Shows: Antigen is continuously presented in draining nodes despite absence of strong CTL control
Does not show: Proliferative priming is not elimination; engineered TCR/antigen and inoculation model
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC2, SC6.
[46] Spatial Architecture of Myeloid and T Cells Orchestrates Immune Evasion and Clinical Outcome in Lung Cancer.
Shows: Neutrophil, fibroblast and vascular spatial barriers associate with metastasis and immune exclusion
Does not show: Shared cohort; mechanistic hypotheses rather than intervention or traced first phase
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[47] Highly malignant tumor variants retain tumor-specific antigens recognized by T helper cells.
Shows: Malignant variants retain helper-T-cell antigens while losing CTL targets; immunization discriminates protection
Does not show: Specific antigen classes; retained antigens do not refute all immune selection
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[48] Immunological ignorance is an enabling feature of the oligo-clonal T cell response to melanoma neoantigens.
Shows: Expressed shared neoantigens can lack reactive clones; vaccination broadens responses
Does not show: Small metastatic series and vaccination; ignorance is contextual not universal absence of immunity
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[49] Mutations Associated with Acquired Resistance to PD-1 Blockade in Melanoma.
Shows: JAK1/JAK2/B2M alterations accompany acquired resistance and functional signaling/presentation defects
Does not show: Exogenous checkpoint pressure; acquired resistance cannot prove untreated tumor initiation
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4.
[50] Genetic evolution of T-cell resistance in the course of melanoma progression.
Shows: Early B2M allele loss plus later second hit tracks progressive loss of recognition
Does not show: Few lesions and established metastatic course; no mandatory equilibrium
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4.
[51] Resistance to checkpoint blockade therapy through inactivation of antigen presentation.
Shows: B2M defects enrich in progression/nonresponders and predict poor outcome
Does not show: Treatment and observational enrichment; presenter loss rather than antigen mutation depletion
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4.
[52] Lack of immunoediting in murine pancreatic cancer reversed with neoantigen.
Shows: Juvenile sustained validated T-cell depletion leaves spontaneous tumor timing/survival intact; OVA addition restores CD8 rejection and selection
Does not show: Scoped murine counterexample; predicted neoepitope absence not all possible antigens; OVA engineered positive control
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 0:Publisher HTML paragraphs:paragraph57, 0:Publisher HTML paragraphs:paragraph62, 0:Publisher HTML paragraphs:paragraph67, 0:Publisher HTML paragraphs:paragraph73, 0:Publisher HTML paragraphs:paragraph86, 0:Publisher HTML paragraphs:paragraph88. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC3, SC6.
[53] Immunoediting restricts clonal neoantigens in primary, treatment-naive human tumors.
Shows: High-infiltrate intact-host tumors restrict strong-binding/immunogenic neoantigens to lower clonal frequency with purity/growth controls
Does not show: Cross-sectional immunosuppression and age differences; not every cancer, not functional destruction of each predicted epitope
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. Selected body sections: 1:RESULTS::paragraph3, 1:RESULTS::paragraph7, 1:RESULTS::paragraph10, 1:RESULTS::paragraph13, 1:RESULTS::paragraph20. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC3, SC6.
[54] Perforin-mediated cytotoxicity is critical for surveillance of spontaneous lymphoma.
Shows: Perforin loss predisposes lymphoma and CD8 rejection differs strongly
Does not show: Lymphoma-specific; p53 sarcoma incidence/onset unaffected; innate/adaptive substrate not separated globally
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC6.
[55] Host perforin reduces tumor number but does not increase survival in oncogene-driven mammary adenocarcinoma.
Shows: Perforin/NK reduces tumor number and delays onset without survival gain; CD8 depletion does not reproduce effect
Does not show: Positive narrow innate surveillance cannot upgrade universal adaptive elimination
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC6.
[56] Suppression of lymphoma and epithelial malignancies effected by interferon gamma.
Shows: IFNgamma/perforin restrain lymphoma and some late epithelial cancers
Does not show: Strain-specific protection; IL12/18/TNF single loss not sufficient; broad pathways
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC6.
[57] A critical role for natural killer T cells in immunosurveillance of methylcholanthrene-induced sarcomas.
Shows: Physiological NKT transfer protection requires CD1d, downstream NK/CD8, IFNgamma and perforin
Does not show: Specific carcinogen challenge and pathway; NKT is not proof of general conventional-T sequence
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1.
[58] Innate immune surveillance of spontaneous B cell lymphomas by natural killer cells and gammadelta T cells.
Shows: NK and gamma-delta effectors protect/reject tumors without conventional MHC-I context
Does not show: Complex beta2m affects MHC/CD1d/CD16; no isolated adaptive obligatory phase
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC6.
[59] Critical role for tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand in immune surveillance against tumor development.
Shows: TRAIL blockade increases susceptible tumors and interacts with NK/IFNgamma
Does not show: Specific effectors and susceptible lineages; no cross-etiology necessity
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1.
[60] Cancer immunoediting by the innate immune system in the absence of adaptive immunity.
Shows: NK IFNgamma and M1 macrophages edit tumors without adaptive immunity; CD40 restores editing
Does not show: Innate editing refutes an exclusively adaptive definition but remains carcinogen-model scoped
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC1, SC4, SC6.
[61] Immune evasion before tumour invasion in early lung squamous carcinogenesis.
Shows: Immune activation and escape markers arise before invasion
Does not show: Morphological trajectories and biomarkers rather than experimentally identified universal equilibrium
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[62] Immune Escape Is an Early Event in Pre-Invasive Lesions of Lung Squamous Cell Carcinoma.
Shows: PD-L1 is present in a subset of dysplasias and absent in controls
Does not show: PD-L1 staining not functional immune escape or phase sequence
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.
[63] IL-1α Expands SLC2A1highSPP1highIFNlow Myeloid Cells to Drive Immune Escape and Malignant Transformation of Precancers.
Shows: Early pharmacologic/genetic IL1 interruption reduces suppressive myeloid subsets, progression and mortality
Does not show: Defined myeloid pre-emption model; no lineage proof that no brief equilibrium ever occurred
Access/status: Complete primary abstract and linked-status metadata examined. No complete-paper or supplement audit claimed. none_found. Subclaims: SC4, SC6.

